Stockchase Opinions

Gordon Reid Goodyear Tire GT-Q TOP PICK Apr 07, 2022

Fabulous Q4. Market didn't like guidance. R&D investments in EV market, as tires need to be different. Those tires have up to 30% higher margins. Bought Cooper Tire. Very strong future. Estimates $2.50 EPS in 2022, $3 EPS in 2023. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $22.38)
$12.395

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 15/22, Down 0.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with GT is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $8) to $10 at this time.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 07/22, Down 18%)

Shares not performing the last year. Is disappoint with results.  
Expecting more car sales to increase sales.
Electric car demand will require tires manufactures. 
Will watch company very closely going forward.
Higher inflation really biting into business margins. 

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate GT as a TOP PICK.  Recently reported earnings showed revenues up over 6% beating analyst expectations, with the American region leading the way with 12% growth, showing signs that post-pandemic driving is back on the upswing.  It trades under book value and at 15x earnings.  We like that cash reserves are growing while debt is aggressively retired and stock is bought back.  We recommend maintaining the stop at $10, looking to achieve $13 -- upside potential of 23%.  Yield 0% 

(Analysts’ price target is $12.83)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 27/23, Up 21.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with GT has achieved its target at $13.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $10) to $11.  

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 27/23, Up 22.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with GT is progressing well.  We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $11) to $12.

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 27/23, Up 12.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with GT has triggered its stop at $12.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 9%, when combined with our previous recommendations.    

DON'T BUY

It's a tough space. We exited this years ago.  Buying Cooper Tire 6-8 years ago, but didn't enhance business. The raw material of tires (rubber) is volatile, so this sector is unpredictable. GT is not managed well.

WAIT

Caters to both EV and combustion markets, but car sales have come down. Tough, super-competitive business. Restructuring, which has gone on for a while, so wait for that to finish. Write-offs during restructuring usually help companies. 

Unspecified

It is better now than before but it has lots of debt and negative free cash flow. It has survived over time but has always been somewhat levered and has performed poorly for a long time. Due to the low price it could be time to buy now but you have to be able to handle risk.

DON'T BUY

Does not like company. Would recommend selling. Last quarter good - but overall - not a high quality company. High debt loads with poor business prospects.