Opinions
Lorne Steinberg
Goldman Sachs
GS-N
TOP PICK
Oct 02, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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At 13X earnings, considering earnings, capital markets outlook and interest rate forecasts, we think it still looks good.
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Likes it. Financials should be one of the leaders coming out of the current environment, as they were before the recent volatility. Down ~22% from recent highs last month on recession concerns. 200-day MA seems to be support where you can buy. As Buffett says, "Be greedy when others are fearful."
One of the leaders in investment banking and wealth management. Will benefit from deregulation and potential increase of M&A activity.
Of the big banks, they are the most levered to investment banking, including IPOs. He bought it expecting an uptick in IPOs under Trump, but his tariffs have temporarily derailed that. The IPO revival should happen if tariffs don't return. This pulled back hard since mid-February because of those tariffs, down 35%.
Is perfectly positioned for the tailwinds under the Trump presidency. After April's tariffs, corporate boards have been sitting and waiting, reluctant to do deals, but a strong capital market will eventually happen. Pays a good dividend and are very well-capitalized.
(Analysts’ price target is $596.61)
This is the premier global investment bank. They are the best run bank in this space. They were not damaged in the financial crisis. But Goldman Sachs has suffered along with the other large banks. Investors have the chance to buy it now near 11 times current earnings and perhaps 9 times next year’s earnings. They are the only major investment bank that has fewer shares outstanding now than before the financial crisis. It continues to use its free cash flow to buy back shares. Fewer large banks are involved in trading activities, and margins for Goldman Sachs’ trading continue to be very strong. Goldman has a new CEO, which causes some concern. However, Goldman has a great track record with management transitions; he expects this to go well. Yield 01.4%. (Analysts’ price target $273.72)