Alphabet IncGOOGBUYMay 07, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Might be affected on today's news that AAPL will be adding some AI-search capabilities to its browsers. Still likes it. Down 27% from highs earlier this year. Still above 200-week MA, which is moving higher. Winner long term. Trades at 18x forward PE for 13-14% EPS growth. Embedding AI solutions across its ecosystem. Still the leader in digital advertising, cloud continues to grow. There will be choppiness against expectations.
While there will be continued competition in AI, this name has so many engines for growth. Not going anywhere.