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Stockchase Opinions

Laura LauiShares Natural Gas Commodity ETFGAS.TODON'T BUYJun 30, 2009

Natural Gas ETF. In 1 year gas will definitely be higher than what it is now. Longer term, 3-5 years, it will probably be in the $6-$8 range. Most equities are pricing in $6 to $7 gas so there is not as much upside as you would think. This ETF is based on the next contract, which is 1 month. Contract is rolled every month and every time the price is higher you end up buying fewer contracts so you could actually lose money even though the price might be $6. Timeframe for an investor would be 2 or 3 days.
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DON'T BUY

Has futures contracts underlying it. There is net asset erosion over time because of rolling over contracts. He does not think any of these are really great for long term hold. Prefers companies who explore like FCG-N and ZJN-T.

DON'T BUY

GAS-T is an ETF holding the forward future. Not a good long term hold. ZJN-T or FCG-N are better for a longer-term hold.

BUY
There is a huge amount of natural gas coming out of fracking in the US. It may be worth looking at now. It is possible that the US could be self sufficient for energy within a decade. It may be time to be looking at Nat. Gas.
BUY
Does not have the liquidity that many would like. Going to the US for such an ETF may not be much better.
DON'T BUY
whenever he buys this he loses. No upside.
DON'T BUY
Natural Gas Commodity ETF. This trades an awful lot like a commodity because it’s based on Canadian gas contract. He doesn't like it because he just doesn't know what it's going to do.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 1/10. Down 20.41%.) Tracks physical gas. Sold his holdings after probably a few months. Not a buy.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 1/10. Down 26.03%.) Natural gas ETF. Still a Hold.
BUY
Likes natural gas. The further up that oil goes the better chance for natural gas to go up. Typical of supply and demand and there is a lot more supply than demand. You could bet on the commodity through this and longer term do quite well.
COMMENT
Physical natural gas contracts in Canada.
DON'T BUY
These ETFs do well when futures prices are lower than present because you are buying low and selling higher. When they are in co tango, you are buying high and selling low.
DON'T BUY
Natural Gas Commodity ETF (GAS-T) or Perpetual Energy (PMT-T) for a 5-year gas play? A 5-year expectation that gas will go up eventually is reasonable. He would hold Perpetual. This one is essentially Future contracts and essentially are Buying high and Selling low..
DON'T BUY
Natural Gas ETF. Quite volatile and he has very little exposure to it. At some point natural gas will go up but doesn’t see it on the horizon right now. If you own, consider for tax loss selling.
BUY
Natural Gas Commodity ETF. He is surprised that gas has not done better. As a longer-term hold, he would classify this as a real buy. Very cheap.
COMMENT
Natural Gas Commodity ETF. Too volatile for him but as a long-term hold it is fine and he sees no problem with it.