Opinions
Chris Blumas
EOG Resources Inc
EOG-N
COMMENT
Apr 29, 2020
$46.450
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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Oil is back to pre-Ukrainian invasion levels. So, there's no geopolitical risk priced into oil today. Energy is a cheap way to hedge against geopolitcal issues. Supply is constrained. OPEC did a laughable increase this week of only 100,000 barrels (the smallest ever). There are strong outflows from energy ETFs, so people are giving up on energy. He likes energy, especially EOG which reported this week--they are the Apple of this industry. They are not doing what other companies are, which is raising capex to drive production. EOG has better technology which proves they are best in class. They are returning their cash to shareholders with a special $1.50/share dividend. You're getting a 9% yield on this company this year.
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BUY
A US name to look at if you don't want to deal with the geopolitical or the heavy-oil takeaway capacity. Those constraints wouldn't affect this non-Canadian name. Probably the lowest-cost operator in the US, and one of the lowest globally. Does well operating in the counter-cyclical model.
Sharp selloff along with the price of oil, and it's just to do with the economic sensitivity of the commodity. Yield is 3.2%.
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Energy is facing its toughest times. If you are bottom feeding, he might still avoid this sector. The companies that will get through the best will be the ones with their costs under control. CPG is a lower cost producer, but he would prefer someone like EOG -- the lowest cost shale producer. He thinks CPG may require more equity or debt to grow going forward.