Stockchase Opinions

Lorne Steinberg DowDuPont Inc. DWDP-N PAST TOP PICK Sep 04, 2018

A Top Pick October 23, 2017. Down 9%). The merger has gone through. The company will be split into several pieces over the next 24 months. Free cash flow and earnings are growing at 10 to 15%. He expects dividend increases while the company goes through its restructuring. The breakup value of the company would give a 25% gain and the company has stated that it is headed in that direction. The company has been under pressure on the commodity chemical side and the agriculture side. There had been disappointment, though recent earnings were strong and caused a bit of a recovery. In addition, institutional investors are shying away from the company because, in general, they are shying away from owning conglomerates.

$69.720

Stock price when the opinion was issued

chemicals
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DON'T BUY
The chemical companies have not performed well, partly due to trade negotiations. We have seen a collapse. We have broken the support level and have just finished the seasonal period for material stocks including chemicals. This is not the time to own it.
COMMENT
Spin offs? The agra-chemicals business that will be spun off is not a holding he would buy into. There is uncertainty over genetic modification in the agricultural space, but he bought this in the past for the chemical side of the business. Dupont will target the chemical side and is expected to pay a 5% dividend yield.
HOLD

It split into three shares. DWDP-N was a holding company and he would continue to hold it. The AG company would be more challenged.

DON'T BUY
When they split up the company, they bundled parts of the company he likes with parts he doesn't. Specifically, he doesn't want to be involved in the agricultural parts. The plastics part claims to be capturing content in automotive--but cars are a shrinking industry. If there are further splits, he'll take another look.
COMMENT

It is split up into Dow and Dupont again. Dupont is a petro-chemical company going through difficult times. DOW is a bit more specialized. It has a 5%+ dividend. They are both defensive stocks over 10 years.

DON'T BUY
Coronavirus has hit this badly. Get rid of Dupont, keep Dow if you have a choice, but he wouldn't buy any chemical stocks now.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
A past pick from summer 2020 when we started turning the corner on the pandemic The good news has been baked in, so if this sells off another $5-10, he'd buy.
PARTIAL SELL
It reports Tuesday. He expects a weak quarter. Rising costs and the semiconductor shortage led him to take some profits.
SELL
They report Tuesday. He worries about rising raw costs in industrials, and this could lead to a downtime for Dow. This is why he recently sold it.
BUY
Sitting on a mountain of cash. Believes in the CEO who's made fortunes for investors in the past. He bet he can do it again.