Lorne Steinberg
DowDuPont Inc.
DWDP-N
TOP PICK
Oct 23, 2017
The merger between Dow and DuPont offers real cost synergies. Eventually this will be broken up into 3 companies, a specialty and agricultural company’s couples company and a materials company. When we get our breakup value of the stock and take out the cost synergies, he gets a valuation that the stock should be double where it is in the next 5 years. A very, very undervalued company. They are #1 in most of their major businesses. Plenty of free cash flow and lots of room for dividend increases in all 3 of the businesses. (Analysts’ price target is $79.)
The chemical companies have not performed well, partly due to trade negotiations. We have seen a collapse. We have broken the support level and have just finished the seasonal period for material stocks including chemicals. This is not the time to own it.
Spin offs? The agra-chemicals business that will be spun off is not a holding he would buy into. There is uncertainty over genetic modification in the agricultural space, but he bought this in the past for the chemical side of the business. Dupont will target the chemical side and is expected to pay a 5% dividend yield.
When they split up the company, they bundled parts of the company he likes with parts he doesn't. Specifically, he doesn't want to be involved in the agricultural parts. The plastics part claims to be capturing content in automotive--but cars are a shrinking industry. If there are further splits, he'll take another look.
It is split up into Dow and Dupont again. Dupont is a petro-chemical company going through difficult times. DOW is a bit more specialized. It has a 5%+ dividend. They are both defensive stocks over 10 years.
A past pick from summer 2020 when we started turning the corner on the pandemic The good news has been baked in, so if this sells off another $5-10, he'd buy.
The merger between Dow and DuPont offers real cost synergies. Eventually this will be broken up into 3 companies, a specialty and agricultural company’s couples company and a materials company. When we get our breakup value of the stock and take out the cost synergies, he gets a valuation that the stock should be double where it is in the next 5 years. A very, very undervalued company. They are #1 in most of their major businesses. Plenty of free cash flow and lots of room for dividend increases in all 3 of the businesses. (Analysts’ price target is $79.)