Bruce Campbell (2)
ADF Group
DRX-T
WATCH
Sep 19, 2024
Amazing chart over 2 years, not as attractive over last 2 quarters. High expectations, disappointment in numbers, investors started to exit. Ranks well in his longer-term screens, but not short term. He's watching, as there will be huge demand for infrastructure and infrastructure steel.
If you hold it now, continue to hold. If not, watch for the inflection point between earnings and higher margins, as stock price should start to follow. This way, you might pay a bit more, but you'll potentially save yourself some downside.
Manufactures huge steel products for high towers. Product is so specialized that there is not a lot of competition. Producing at about 50% capacity so there is good upside in terms of getting new contracts and increasing margins. Doing about 20% EBITDA margins and stock is trading at about 8X this year's earnings. Have good visibility in their backlog until about 2008/2009. Probably no debt by the end of the year.
The chart looks good with nice volume. It's been trading sideways for a while. It looks like it's starting to fill in the drop that it has. It looks like it could go up $.20-$.30 with a stop-loss at $1.10.
DRX is a North American leader in the construction of steel superstructures with business in five continents. Recently reported earnings beat analyst expectations by over 35%. It trades at 11x earnings and has seen its cash reserves grow while retiring debt. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $11, looking to achieve $23 -- upside potential over 40%. Yield 0.1%
If you own it, you don't need to run away. Reasonable price. Would like to see improved dividend yield, better valuation. Nothing exciting jumps out, better opportunities elsewhere.
Has done very well, but is concerned about the concentration of its clients (steel structures). Control by the family isn't necessarily bad. DRX benefits from infrastructure.
It is an industrial engineering company. The stock ramped way up and fell right back down to an attractive multiple. The stock is not where it should be considering the fundamentals, valuation and growth potential. It is riskier and cyclical.
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Amazing chart over 2 years, not as attractive over last 2 quarters. High expectations, disappointment in numbers, investors started to exit. Ranks well in his longer-term screens, but not short term. He's watching, as there will be huge demand for infrastructure and infrastructure steel.
If you hold it now, continue to hold. If not, watch for the inflection point between earnings and higher margins, as stock price should start to follow. This way, you might pay a bit more, but you'll potentially save yourself some downside.