Andy Nasr
Dream Global REIT
DRG.UN-T
COMMENT
Aug 02, 2017
Inovalis (INO.UN-T) or Dream Global (DRG.UN-T)? There is probably too much duplication to own both. Management has done a very, very good job since the IPO. They’ve grown through acquisition and have diversified. They own an institutional quality portfolio, and thinks they have an opportunity to grow in continental Europe. Their assets are primarily in Germany. Instead of buying Canadian names that have exposure to Europe, he is actually going directly into Europe and buying some names.
(A Top Pick Aug 14/18, Down 5%) One of his income plays. It’s in Europe, so cash generation outside of Canada will be beneficial. Most assets are in Germany, which gives cash flow safety. Yield is 5.9%.
vs. D.UN-T D.UN isn't cheap at 19.2x. It's improved its asset base to higher quality, focusing on Toronto. Decent 6% growth. They've already had their big move though. DRG.UN has room to go, in contrast. It's a play on Germany and Holland. He see slightly growth, but a much cheaper valuation than D.UN AT 14.5x. Similar balance sheets. Safe payout ratio. He prefers D.UN.
He met them last week. A good company. Its dividend pays 5.9% which is safe. But he's apprehensive about Dream because this REIT is based in Europe with lots of regulatory hurdles across many countries. That's tricky.
Office and industrials in Germany and the Netherlands. Advantage over Canadian peers because of negative interest rates in Germany. Yield is 5.9%. (Analysts’ price target is $16.08)
An office focused REIT with assets in Germany and the Netherlands. He is not a fan of the parent organization, but is not a huge concern. Vacancy rates in Germany are less than 4%. He sees good office rental growth opportunity, which is averaging 7% per year. There is still room to run.
(A Top Pick May 30/19, Up 7%) A Euro play in Germany and Holland. Their Q2: the German office market remains strong. They can continue to tap the European markets where interest rates are negative, a competitive advantage to North America; trades at 22% discount to NAV that managers want to shrink. Yields 5.5%.
Really likes it. Agreed to be acquired by Blackstone. Wouldn't recommend it at this point. Doesn't see a higher bidder. Great opportunity to look at other Canadian REITs with global assets. Look at Granite REIT instead.
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Inovalis (INO.UN-T) or Dream Global (DRG.UN-T)? There is probably too much duplication to own both. Management has done a very, very good job since the IPO. They’ve grown through acquisition and have diversified. They own an institutional quality portfolio, and thinks they have an opportunity to grow in continental Europe. Their assets are primarily in Germany. Instead of buying Canadian names that have exposure to Europe, he is actually going directly into Europe and buying some names.