Opinions
Don Vialoux
Dow Inc. (Formerly Dow Chemical) (DOW-N)
DOW-N
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Dec 04, 2013
$38.890
Stock price when the opinion was issued
chemicals
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
We'll be in a trading range in the short term at least. The Fed is so behind the inflation curve; inflation so high. Can the Fed engineer a soft landing? Even 7 rate hikes won't cure inflation. We need to fix supply chains. On the positive side, she always felt 2022 growth will be slower than 2021, because fiscal supports have ended. Housing is still strong. Banks are lending, and consumers have historically high amounts of cash to spend. She is adding during this weakness to Dow Chemicals and American Express for example. Look for solid fundamdentals.
chemicals
DON'T BUY
Chemical companies are industrials, and industrials do poorly during recessions. Shipments are down 14%, so earnings will struggle. 7x earnings. Dividend hasn't grown in last 5 years, so higher inflation wipes out your income. Yield is unattractive at 5.6%, which is only high because stock price has come down. Instead, he owns DHR and TMO.
chemicals
Just announced they were selling off $3-$4 billion of assets. Companies like this have very strong seasonality at this time of year, usually from around October right through until at least the end of the year and into the springtime as well. Chart shows the stock is trying to form a base. Longer-term technicals are pretty good. Any kind of weakness you see in the next couple of weeks is an opportunity to Buy.