Stockchase Opinions

Gordon ReidDell ComputersDELLDON'T BUYMar 18, 2025

It spiked it last summer over the AI buzz, but the bloom is off the rose over AI adoption. Historically, hardware companies don't have much stickiness; there's more opportunity in software which can adapt.

$96.70

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Is up 24% this year and 64% the past year. Is a data centre powerhouse because of its red-hot server business.

BUY

The only reason to own this is for its infrastructure services group, which is key to the data centre build-out. Is growing 25% annually. Their PC business is anemic in past years, but is priced into shares. Are buying back shares, great CEO/founder, and important to data centres. Expect 15-20% return if the AI narrative is positive, but if negative, this will slide with the cohort.

BUY

Likes it for trading in and out. Recently got back in. 12-month price target of $164. Between its screens and networking, it's a good play within the whole AI infrastructure and networking space.

PARTIAL BUY

Gross margins are down 1.4% but operating margins rose because of cost-cutting. Shares rose after earnings because they increased guidance. The infrastructure solutions group is the data centre-AI play, and is growing revenues by 27%. The PC area is anemic.

BUY

It reports Tuesday. Not worried. The CEO will source his semis at a good price. He expects good news about the data centre and the enterprise. own this before the report. 

WATCH

Was downgraded today on the basis of short-term margin compression, which she feels is likely due to the sharp increase in memory prices. But she thinks Dell is taking market share from SMCI in data centres (Dell's infrastructure services group, specifically) and will continue to. Earnings next week should provide clarity and potentially a buy.

BUY

Is a leader. It works with Nvidia to integrate AI, generate strong business. They hold an analyst meeting on Tuesday.

PARTIAL SELL

Sold most of her holding. Dell's growth engine is their infrastructure services. Are taking strong market share from SMCI. But she felt the high-$130s was a temporary top, so she sold some shares. She would get back in the low-$100s.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 03/24, Down 12%)

It's disappointed. It's well-positioned in tech, including semis, but hasn't executed. It missed earnings a few times. It has rebounded a lot from his early April lows. He sold it. But it should benefit from what's happening in tech. There are better names out there.

BUY

They reported last week. Dell boasts $12.1 billion in AI systems orders. Expected to grow earnings 15%. Shares have fallen, so it's an opportunity now.

DON'T BUY

Was -2.87% today and -3.59% the past week. Dell is getting hit from (the many) government contractors being forced the Trump government to justify their purchases.

BUY
Will the AI PC theme ever happen?

A tougher economy makes it harder. That said, Dell believes so; they've been in the PC business for 40 years and deserve the benefit of the doubt.

BUY

It reports Thursday. It could make a comeback, because it helps companies adapt to Nvidia's AI platform. A great CEO. He doesn't expect another bad quarter (he didn't like the last one).

BUY

Shares are on fire. They report Feb. 25. Their infrastructure solutions group is the heart of the data centres and on fire.