Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has owned this in the past. Management continues to believe they can continue to pay the dividend yield of almost 12%. Payout ratio is very high, and the market doesn’t believe they are going to be able to continue to pay the 12%. This business is fairly tough and becoming more difficult all the time. It seems the company has been able to steady their numbers in the last couple of quarters. They’ll probably end up engineering the company so that it moves in a direction similar to something like what Davis Henderson (DH-T) did. At some point, they won’t be just ATMs, but will be in other areas as well. He would be fairly cautious on adding to your holdings.
Basically an ATM business for Canada, Australia and the UK. Just released results, which were decent. There was a little bit higher maintenance CapX in Australia as authorities had forced all ATMs to move towards EMB chips in the cards, so they had to upgrade their ATMs to make them compliant before the year-end. Payout ratio jumped up to 72% from FFO. Still a very cheap stock, trading at about 6.5X EV/EBITDA. A great, long term story. Dividend yield of about 11%.
Being acquired at $19 per share. He sold his holdings at that price. The reason it is trading so close to the takeout price is that they are going to continue to pay the dividend until it is taken out. If you get taken out on the last day of January, you could potentially have an extra $0.48 coming in. You also defer capital gains until the next fiscal year.
In the process of being taken over. He had been short when it was announced. The ATM business is shrinking in Canada and around the world. It is an arbitrage situation at this point. He would not recommend buying more here. It is not a great business and there are not good chances of another bid here.
Hasn’t had a great performance over the last 12 months, but he is still very positive on it. Probably the largest provider of ATMs in Canada and Australia, and #3 in the UK. An interesting cash business and a very cheap valuation. Likes the yield. Payout ratio is probably in the 50s-60s, so the dividend is sustainable. What has really hung the stock of late has been the performance in Australasia, and Australia particularly where they introduced Tap and Pay. Thinks this is a one-off reduction in their growth rate. ATMs have just had an increase from $2 to $3 which flows to their bottom line. Had a very good Q3. A great, long term story.