Delta Air Lines IncDALHOLDOct 06, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 04, 2026. Market Open.
Airlines are always tough investments. Valuation is certainly cheap. EPS is expected to dip this year and then rise 20% in 2026. However this assumes no recession or other issues. The Q1 was decent and 19% ahead of estimates. The dividend was recently increased 25% (for the Q3). If we see Middle East peace and lower oil prices the stock may start acting better. As a 'value' stock we think it is OK. It has the usual sector and market risks, and we would not see it as a huge secular growth name. But......under the right conditions we could see an 11X mutliple or more, and this would be a good gain if it occurred. But note it's current multiple is not really out of line by historical standards.
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He is not too fond of airlines in general. However, this one got a bit of good news today in that their bonds are gaining on the credit side in terms of their rating. Airlines typically are high fixed costs, so in times of trouble they don’t do well. However, all of them seem to have been doing well. If you do see a correction, airline stocks will come off quickly.