Stockchase Opinions

Noah Blackstein, B.A., CFA Cemex SA CX-N BUY Apr 10, 2002

A good play on the emerging market. Earnings should be good.
$31.140

Stock price when the opinion was issued

cement concrete
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TOP PICK

Cement ready mix and aggregates. Exposure to Mexico, US, Europe and emerging markets. A plant is very, very expensive to build so competitors find it hard to enter.

BUY

Starting to perform a little better. The debt levels on the balance sheet are a little high. A pretty good infrastructure play. It is Europe, Mexico, Latin America.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 6/13. Up 2.21%.) This is his highly leveraged bet on an improving economy, but obviously it didn’t work out very well. If you believe in the economy, it is a good one to own, but feels it is dangerous to own it right now.

COMMENT

One of the top 3 cement producers globally and has an enormous range. With the financial crisis, being geographically diversified didn’t work. It hasn’t done badly over the last 5 years, however it is a construction play. If you are worried about the outlook for the economy, you should consider taking a loss on this if you own.

COMMENT

This was a market favourite pre-financial crisis where it had too much debt. It is one of the most basic industries and has done relatively well. If you are looking for one play on global cement demand, this is the most global of them all.

WAIT

You have time on this. They are still shutting down production in the shale oil/gas. This is just not the right cyclical moment. Chart indicates that this is starting to turn. He would want to see it stabilize. Give it some time.

DON'T BUY

40% of revenues are already in the US, so Trump is not going to have a huge detrimental effect. The only problem with this company is that they made a bad acquisition about 5-6 years ago, and are still paying for it. Their credit quality is a little under investment grade, and they still have a lot of debts to pay off before they can really turn this company around and start to have more success.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
It's always a cheap stock and never delivers. It's a Mexico stock, but Mexico should see a resurgence. Buy at $6? A little.
RISKY
A great spec stock and play on infrastructure as well as Mexico. He's a believer in Mexico. They make cement.
BUY

Building products, HQ in Mexico. Mainly cement and ready-mix concrete. 1/3 revenue comes from US. Outperforming broader index since mid-2022. 10x forward earnings, 15% growth rate. Likes the industrial space. Decent valuation. Technicals OK, above 200-day MA, which is also trending higher.