Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase Insights CoreWeave CRWV-Q WATCH Apr 02, 2025

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

We are quite shocked, frankly. 'Everybody' turned negative on CRWV in the weeks before it went public, and then it landed with a thud and a dud. Then, it goes up 41% yesterday. The float is quite thin, and some shareholders cannot sell for 180 days, and this can increase volatility. ARK Funds were buying this week. There was no news yesterday, but options are now listed on the stock and we expect it to be a popular stock with the retail/meme trading crowd. The big jump does not mean all is clear in the data centre space, but it is of course encouraging. Another example of how sentiment can swing wildly. We would still prefer the other data centre companies but it is one to watch. There are risks here, but also opportunities. 
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SELL

NVDA owns 7% of this and the hyperscalers are interested in this. It's still losing money and trades at premium multiples. But they can pivot in the marketplace with both hardware and software in their data centres. They cater to smaller/medium-size companies. But they carry a lot of debt, but that's needed for the capex. Rapid tech obsolence is also a caveat. This could fall below $100.

PARTIAL SELL

He recommended it when they IPO'd and it's run up 300%. Sell half your holding.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It IPO'd poorly in March, then took off. Today, it got hit after announcing it was buying Core Scientific for $9 billion, already a partner with CRWV. Share fell 3.33% (Core -17.61%)

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes it, but there are too many shorts in it, so this needs to come down before you look at it.

DON'T BUY

One of the most contentious stocks right now. Drastic undersupply of GPUs to power systems, but how long will this last? Another question is how proprietary, really, is what CRWV's doing? Concerning debt profile, burning cash. Follow the free cashflow.

DON'T BUY

It will keep falling. Only then will the stock tell you what to do. Till then, look elsewhere.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

CRWV is in a nearly 50% 3-month drawdown and the EV/Sales valuation has reverted to 7X. Revenues are expected to double in 2026. After this drawdown, we think it is starting to look better here and we would be ok with picking away at the name at this stage with the caveat that it remains higher risk and volatile.
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COMMENT

Is +134% since its March IPO. Likes the fundamental business but was too high during its June peak. The lock-up on insider selling has expired, so shares have fallen below $100. Still, has performed well.

WATCH

A lot going for it, as it's involved in the networking space. Massive company at almost $50B, considering it IPO'd only 6 months ago. His price target is $123. He'd pick it up if it got down to low-mid $80s.

BUY

They use debt to build data centres, but he's not worried, because he trusts the CEO--there's a lot of demand for the centres.