Stock price when the opinion was issued
NVDA owns 7% of this and the hyperscalers are interested in this. It's still losing money and trades at premium multiples. But they can pivot in the marketplace with both hardware and software in their data centres. They cater to smaller/medium-size companies. But they carry a lot of debt, but that's needed for the capex. Rapid tech obsolence is also a caveat. This could fall below $100.
CRWV is in a nearly 50% 3-month drawdown and the EV/Sales valuation has reverted to 7X. Revenues are expected to double in 2026. After this drawdown, we think it is starting to look better here and we would be ok with picking away at the name at this stage with the caveat that it remains higher risk and volatile.
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We are quite shocked, frankly. 'Everybody' turned negative on CRWV in the weeks before it went public, and then it landed with a thud and a dud. Then, it goes up 41% yesterday. The float is quite thin, and some shareholders cannot sell for 180 days, and this can increase volatility. ARK Funds were buying this week. There was no news yesterday, but options are now listed on the stock and we expect it to be a popular stock with the retail/meme trading crowd. The big jump does not mean all is clear in the data centre space, but it is of course encouraging. Another example of how sentiment can swing wildly. We would still prefer the other data centre companies but it is one to watch. There are risks here, but also opportunities.
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