Stockchase Opinions

Barry SchwartzCopart Inc.CPRTPAST TOP PICKFeb 02, 2026

(A Top Pick Mar 25/25, Down 27%)

A real punch in the face. Temporary. In the US, people can't afford the high price of car insurance so they're not insuring their vehicles. It just has the wrong customers right now compared to competitors. Hopeful this turns as insurance prices come down. 15% of market cap is in cash. Getting into auctions for heavy equipment.

$39.68

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Automotive
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SELL

He owned it as of yesterday, and today he doesn't. 

Sold, not because it's a bad business or there won't be growth, but it's facing a lot of challenges. Not exposed to fastest-growing US insurer. Lots of people in US are driving without insurance, a real headwind. Long-term, concern is autonomous vehicles and getting into fewer accidents.

Valuation's lowest it's been in a long time. Beautiful balance sheet. Founder still has significant stake in the business.

See his Top Picks to see where he put some of the proceeds.

DON'T BUY

Down 31.8% last year. Are losing market share and trades at 23x PE. Not cheap.

BUY

They deal in car parts and scrapped cars that have been in accidents. This year, their problem is that inflation is making fewer people buy car insurance, therefore reducing scrap volumes to CPRT. Also, their big competitor is competing more with CPRT. That said, people are getting into more accidents and there are more cars on the road. He is still buying this.

BUY

Is involved in auto auctions. Strong volumes, so their business is doing well. Organic revenues are up 9% last quarter. So what if it missed earnings expectations? Does a company growth top and bottom line faster than the overall market. Great balance sheet. Robotaxis will likely get into as many accidents as non-robos, so are a tailwind.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has been on his watchlist for many years. Recently came down to values he's seriously considering. Within about 5% of his buy price. Exceptional company. Tech company that helps insurance companies auction damaged cars. Global. Came down on earnings because growth not as robust. Long-term phenomenal business.

WATCH

Sideways trading range. He'd be much more confident if we could clear the $60 level decisively. Seems like dead money until that happens.

TOP PICK

Auctions cars. More cars are being written off, often due to unfixable technological complexity. Perfect balance sheet. Getting into other verticals such as international markets and heavy equipment. Has grown by double digits for a long time, well run. Winners keep on winning. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $63.67)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Founder led/owned which is positive. Smart real estate acquisitions. Stable returns on capital. High margins. Current share price a little high. Would buy if price fell to 20x earnings (50% reduction in current share price). 

TOP PICK

More car accidents are being written off as total losses. CRT enjoys a duopoly. A growing market as cars grow more complex with EVs and sensors. Great for them. Trades at a reasonable PE.

(Analysts’ price target is $48.71)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 04/22, Down 15%) Takes a fee every time a car is totalled and sold on its site. Capital light, global. Used car prices are now coming down. Insurance companies are going to start increasing volume through its junkyards. He expects a record 2023. One of the best performers, should continue.
HOLD
Cloud over the future of autonomous vehicles is great for CPRT, as humans get into a lot more accidents than driverless vehicles.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 04/20, Up 39%) Online auto auction company. Takes cars that have been in accidents that insurance companies consider total losses. They are towed to their yards and either sold to those who can fix them or sent overseas.
TOP PICK
Largest international network of buyers for junk cars. EVs are impossible to fix, so they go straight to the junkyard. Company expects tremendous volume growth. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $171.35)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 04/20, Up 41%) Dominant player. Volume generates fees. Strong tailwinds, as increasingly the slightest tap on a car can result in a total loss and it goes to a Copart lot.