Stockchase Opinions

Barry Schwartz Costco Wholesale Corporation COST-Q BUY Jun 07, 2024

Stock split on the horizon?

Doesn't know if they're going to split, and it's not important to him. Valuation expensive, but worth paying up for (see his upcoming podcast on Monday for why). Everything they do is to improve the business long term -- cares about employees, tries to add value for members, great balance sheet.

Best retail business in the world bar none. 10K Walmarts globally, but fewer than 900 Costco stores and they're all busy. Goal is to open 20-30 new stores a year for multi-decades. Business model is very certain. Doing everything right.

$845.660

Stock price when the opinion was issued

department stores
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TOP PICK

The PE is high, they can add 20-30 stores a year for 20-30 years. A huge runway worldwide. They do all they can for employees and shareholders. One of the best businesses in the world.

(Analysts’ price target is $1071.56)
TOP PICK

The PE is high, they can add 20-30 stores a year for 20-30 years. A huge runway worldwide. They do all they can for employees and shareholders. One of the best businesses in the world.

(Analysts’ price target is $1071.56)
TOP PICK

The PE is high, they can add 20-30 stores a year for 20-30 years. A huge runway worldwide. They do all they can for employees and shareholders. One of the best businesses in the world.

(Analysts’ price target is $1071.56)
TOP PICK

The PE is high, they can add 20-30 stores a year for 20-30 years. A huge runway worldwide. They do all they can for employees and shareholders. One of the best businesses in the world.

(Analysts’ price target is $1071.56)
TOP PICK

The PE is high, they can add 20-30 stores a year for 20-30 years. A huge runway worldwide. They do all they can for employees and shareholders. One of the best businesses in the world.

(Analysts’ price target is $1071.56)
WAIT

Has maintained a premium valuation for a long time. If you're a growth investor, you could buy this one, but he's not wild about the valuation. Wait for a market correction.

DON'T BUY

Likes the company, but has never owned the stock. It's always been screened out because of valuation. Trading today at 53x PE on this year's earnings. Great business model, and the street recognizes that.

You have to look at these companies in terms of what can go wrong. If we go into a sustained, negative economic period, there's going to be a lot of hurt on a company like this.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

 They report Thursday. Likes it, but they are stuck in purgatory with a high 53x PE. Wait for it to fall below 50x PE. Expects more downside.

BUY

Sank 2.9% today one earnings. However, revenue, EPS and comp. sales beat. Are seeing more younger members. To combat tariffs, are altering their supply chain to hold down prices. It's absurd that the street is punishing them for disappointing renewal rates of online subscribers--this is an excuse to sell. Charlie Munger was a massive shareholder of COST. Over the last 20 years, has returned 19% annually--one of the best stocks ever--vs. 11% by the S&P. With this pullback, it is cheap.

WATCH

Nice run, starting to come over. May have had a double top, look for $1050 to be significant resistance. Old support range looks like $860-900.