50% off Premium Yearly
Costco Wholesale CorporationCOSTBUY ON WEAKNESSJun 27, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 15, 2026. Market Open.
Both great companies, but both very expensive. COST is over 50x PE, and WMT's in the 40s. Fairly low-margin model. Reliant on the consumer, and everyone's affected when that consumer is struggling.
WMT reported today. Earnings were OK, but projections on future quarters were tough. High fuel prices were highlighted.
No valuation concerns, as it's been expensive every day he's looked at it over 30 years. Compounded shareholder total return of 17.5% since its IPO. Third-largest retailer in the world. Procurement clout and supply-chain efficiencies produce gross margins of 11%. Still expanding store count. Periodically increases membership fees. Superior same-store sales performance driven by traffic and basket size.
Lots of ways to win. Yield is 0.59%.
A good name to hold in consumer staples when people panic about market volatility, recession, or the like. Defensive plus steady growth. Runup since January, now trending sideways. Business model is what makes it stand out.
Sees ~11-12% upside from here. Of course, that could change. Ranks 10/10 for her.
Their business model is unique as the profit margin is only half of their competitors. Their memberships are a nice recurring revenue stream. If the economy slows, they do not have the ability to cut prices. He has stayed away because of the high multiples. The P/E ratio has not traded below 25 times for the past 10 years.