Compton Petroleum (CMT.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Compton Petroleum (CMT.TO)

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3 watching

SELL

Has disappointed in terms of production for a while. Last quarter shows a loss of $10 million. High level of debt. Trend is not good and the street is turning bearish on the name.

TOP PICK

Energy is coming back in. Had a low in January with a higher low in March. The downtrend has been violated. Likes it for 6 months.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 21/06. Down 33.1%.) Shortly after his appearance, it broke below the 200-day moving average and he exited at that time.

DON'T BUY

Has shown significant production growth. Doesn’t have the strongest balance sheet.

DON'T BUY

Has suffered with the drop of natural gas prices. The excess inventory of natural gas has to be worked off. A very cold winter or very hot summer will do it.

BUY

Trading at net asset value. Looks good. Had their problems but looks very cheap at the moment.

BUY

Has dropped a lot. His model prices $18.22. Consensus earnings have gone down, but the stock price has dropped further than the fundamentals. $12.50 is an important level and, if it breaks through that, his model price would go back to about $16.

BUY

Very interesting company. Has suffered price wise. Almost 100% gas. Vulnerable to a takeover.

DON'T BUY

Has a debt to cash flow of about 2.1 X’s. Natural gas weighted. Has had some disappointments in production.

DON'T BUY

Like a lot of the senior juniors, it has run into some problems. Have not been able to get production on as fast as they thought and the stock has gone nowhere. Production is starting to show signs of coming back. Looks a little expensive as compared to its peers.

DON'T BUY

Problem with senior/intermediate companies in Alberta is that costs have got out of hand. Also you have the gas problem. This company is fairly heavy on the debt side. Would sell half your holdings and put the money into something safer.

DON'T BUY

Probably has a little room to go on the downside. A gas weighted name and has one of the higher levels of debt. Wouldn't see a turnaround until there is a turnaround in gas prices.

BUY

He has a model price of $18.45. That is a 43% positive differential. It would be a screaming buy at $11.14.

BUY

Reasonably well priced. If you are a longer term investor, you could probably start picking away at it. A good company. It has lots of drillable properties.

SELL

Has higher debt levels than most others. Has had a few production misses. Has been disappointing.

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Compton Petroleum (CMT.TO)