Stockchase Opinions

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI iShares 1-5 yr Government Bond ETF CLF-T COMMENT Apr 03, 2012

The graph shows that this is slowly sliding off and eating a bit into your capital. You can't go wrong with owning government bonds except that you will make a lot of money. He would prefer corporate bonds.
$19.970

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COMMENT
1-5 yr Government Bond ETF. This is his favourite Bond ETF but there are risks in that as the bonds come due, they might not be as attractive going forward. The question is, if not this then what.
COMMENT
1-5 yr Government Bond ETF. This is a laddered strategy and he is big fan of the strategy but looking at the short end of the Canadian bond market right now, yields are very low. A lot of these bonds are actually trading at premiums. Value of ETF's is going to fall over the next few years because the bonds in them are all trading at premium. Still better to do this than a money market fund.
COMMENT
1 - 5 Year government bonds. You want to keep the duration less than 3 years.
BUY

If the government starts to raise short term interest rates (which is not on a calendar until 2015) it will affect this. He extends maturities as interest rates rise. Right now he is looking roll back into short term duration. You have to understand the bond market to trade this one.

BUY

Yield is higher than bonds in it because of bonds farther out. This never matures. They have good diversity.

COMMENT

iShares 1-5 yr Ladder Corp Bond ETF (CBO-T) or iShares 1-5 yr Government Bond ETF (CLF-T)? He prefers the corporate one because the risk is very low and it is a very well diversified short-term portfolio. It will give you extra yield over time, over this one. This one will suit those who are risk adverse and willing to accept lower returns. If safety of capital is paramount, then he would suggest half-and-half.

DON'T BUY

Doesn’t think a 3.5% yield is sustainable in this environment. This is the sort of thing that will grind down the NAV. It is fine as a cash-park, but if it were him he would literally use cash instead.

COMMENT

Not a big fan of anything to do with the income space right now, because there is really nothing. Everything in the income space is pretty much a reverse beauty contest. Relatively conservative. Because of the five-year ladder, you are basically building a laddered portfolio without having to worry about liquidity issues and multiple trading. We are in a market right now where you are making virtually nothing in bonds, especially when you pay taxes and 2% inflation. You would probably be better off just keeping the money in the money market fund or a laddered GIC.

SELL

He prefers corporate bonds because they yield more than government bonds. Prices will probably continue to fall. You are getting a bigger yield payment than the yield to maturity on the bonds themselves. CBO-T would be the replacement for this ETF.