Stock price when the opinion was issued
Very well run company serving millions of customers across ~40 US states. In sweet spot of mobile phone demands. Excellent capital allocation skills with low debt levels. Capital expenditures expected to drop which will increase free cash flow. When interest rates fall, will also be good for profits in the business (less lending costs).
He got out just below $300. Surprised by management's Q1 commentary, didn't expect capex buildout extension and cost escalation. Free cashflow would not arrive until 2028, and this skewed his valuation. Even though it's fallen, fresh eyes would not make him re-enter, risk/reward just not there.
Its poor performance has put him off investing in telcos. Lots of competition for internet, wireless, and mobile. Using a lot of free cashflow to buy back stock at much higher prices, so balance sheet not as good anymore. Interest rates have gone up, and lots of cashflow being used to service this cost.
He fell in love quickly, but speculative here. Arguably cheap valuation but, until you see a turn in the business, hard to say where the stock is going.
CHTR, operating the Spectrum brand name, has had its shares given a hair cut recently due to the bearish news on increased competition in providing internet home services. The company vows it plans to fight back offering customers incentives, including bundling discounts and free services, while standing behind its faster technology offerings. It now trades at 8x earnings, 2.4x book and supports a 36% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $216, looking to achieve $361 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $425.74)