David Burrows Chubb Limited CB-N BUY Nov 06, 2024

Clear channel of higher highs and higher lows from mid-2022. Upward trend in the 200-day MA is starting to accelerate. Sees 7-8% earnings growth. Not as exciting as NVDA, but a good financial name  to own. IFC is the comparable in Canada.

Likes this segment in P&C. Represents value. Will do well in falling interest rate environment, though some interest rate yields moving higher, which has affected this type of name. 

Based in US, but being a more international P&C insurer gives it lots of opportunities for growth. Excellent combined ratio. 

Looks good right now, taking a pause. Chart looks great, now in a consolidation phase (very normal). Very tight trading range around $285-290. Touching $280, which is short-term support, a good sign for taking a position. Your exit strategy should kick in if drops below $275. Dividend is a bonus, so you can afford to hold before it goes up again.

Once it hits $300-310, you know it's going higher and can build on your position.

62% of premiums are in the US and the rest international, so they have global exposure. They are growing life insurance in Asia. They have a good track record in assessing risk, then generate investment income through a large bond portfolio and private equity investments. Berkshire announced a stake in CB earlier this year. Trades at a reasonable 12x forward PE.

The 4th-largest P&C insurer in the world. They do well underwriting and in investing as well. Their combined ratio is 86%, impressive. They also make money on their bond holdings. Berkshire Hathaway owns a large position. Also, CB is low-volatility and defensive.

CB is a large property and casualty insurance company, which has shown disciplined underwriting and risk management over the years, leading to its large scale and strong profitability. It pays a yield of 1.4%, it has grown its sales and earnings at a 10.6% and 22.4% five-year CAGR, respectively. Forward growth is expected to be strong, and it has increased by 18% over the past year. It trades at a 12X forward earnings, and overall we would be quite comfortable with CB as a defensive play.
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He'd buy today. Off highs. Benefits from positive bond market. Strong risk management. Fourth largest in world, largest P&C. Great combined ratio.

Catastrophes tend to give pricing power to P&C insurers. Very fine combined ratio (or, in other words, its margins). Makes about a 15% margin on its underwriting. Invests ~$127B of premiums to great advantage in the bond market. Steady. Yield is 1.3%.

Very defensive. Insurance pricing has not slowed because of all the catastrophes happening. Their combined ratio is 84%. He likes that they invest in bonds, not stocks, so they will survive a correction and grow their dividend. Most bonds are 1-5 years, so will benefit from rate cuts.