CaterpillarCATDON'T BUYMay 03, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Equipment dealers are a great place to be -- pass through inflation very well, good plays on mining and global growth. TIH and FTT have the same type of chart, but not so much with WJX.
Technically, over its skis. So don't buy here. But the theme has legs for the next 3-5 years. FTT is a better deal (but at a lower level as well).
All 3 of the Top Picks today involve taking a bit of money away from the infrastructure plays.
This name plus WMT have been using AI the most and for the longest. Has autonomous and semi-autonomous machines. For those machines that have drivers, they just launched a CAT-AI system -- like having a friend and a coach in the cab. AI is being used for predicting and for supply chains.
His 12-month price target is $750. Buy 1/3 here, another ~$645, and the final 1/3 ~$605. Yield is 0.89%.
Relative to what they’ve been through, this has really done well. 75% of revenues are global and they are in over 180 countries. Have had a few very tough years from an environment perspective, and have held up very well. Although things are turning around, he would not be a buyer. A lot of their business is in emerging market countries where brand isn’t as important as price, and their main competitor is much cheaper. The stock is way too expensive at around 30X PE.