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Stockchase Insights Cal-Maine Foods Inc. CALM-Q HOLD Oct 04, 2025

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Egg prices have gone from $8 in March 2025 down to $1.15 in October. This declineis going to be a weight on shares and CALM does tend to have the large ebbs and flows. The valuation is accounting for a slowdown already, at 10X forward earnings. We think it is fine to hold but a bit of patience might be needed here.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CALM is the largest producer of regular shell and specialty eggs in the US. It carries no debt and has been growing its cash flow. They maintain a strong balance sheet by reducing the dividend following a quarterly financial loss. Recently reported EPS of $0.28 beat expectations of $0.07. The company announced a $0.034 dividend (implied payout ratio of 12%). We would buy this with a stop loss at $33, looking to achieve $47 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 0.3% (Analysts’ price target is $47.00)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 11.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $33) to $39.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 21.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM has achieved its $47 objective. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position and trailing up the stop (from $39) to $42.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 42%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $42) to $50 at this time.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 24.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK has triggered its stop at $50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 29%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
DON'T BUY

It's too focussed on commodities, and is too much of a rollercoaster.

DON'T BUY

It's either up or down huge, and their big yield signals trouble ahead.

BUY

It's rising, not because of any egg shortage, but because those who take GLP-1 weight-loss drugs need the protein that eggs supply.

DON'T BUY

Shares are down, because people feel that the shortage will end. Trades at a 4-5x PE, so shares will go lower, and it's not as cheap as you think.