Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
Egg prices have gone from $8 in March 2025 down to $1.15 in October. This declineis going to be a weight on shares and CALM does tend to have the large ebbs and flows. The valuation is accounting for a slowdown already, at 10X forward earnings. We think it is fine to hold but a bit of patience might be needed here. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 24.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK has triggered its stop at $50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 29%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 42%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $42) to $50 at this time.
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 21.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM has achieved its $47 objective. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position and trailing up the stop (from $39) to $42.
(A Top Pick Apr 01/21, Up 11.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CALM is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $33) to $39.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CALM is the largest producer of regular shell and specialty eggs in the US. It carries no debt and has been growing its cash flow. They maintain a strong balance sheet by reducing the dividend following a quarterly financial loss. Recently reported EPS of $0.28 beat expectations of $0.07. The company announced a $0.034 dividend (implied payout ratio of 12%). We would buy this with a stop loss at $33, looking to achieve $47 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 0.3% (Analysts’ price target is $47.00)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CALM produces and distributes eggs for sale to national grocery and food service companies. With more people cooking at home, sales have been strong -- up over 11% over the year and beating analyst expectations by 4%. EPS of $0.25, also beat expecations of a $0.08 loss. As restaurants re-open sales should grow further. Analysts expect the dividend to be re-instated soon. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $34, looking to achieve $47 -- just over 20% upside. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $47.00)
Chart shows it had formed a double top at around $60 and got repelled there. Has a base of around $50 now. It is in a band. You can wait for it to break out or buy it at the lower level.
Egg prices have gone up very substantially in the US because of fewer hens per cage. Company has had huge earnings growth. Trading at 6X trailing earnings. Pays about a 5% dividend yield. Extremely good value.
Egg prices have gone from $8 in March 2025 down to $1.15 in October. This declineis going to be a weight on shares and CALM does tend to have the large ebbs and flows. The valuation is accounting for a slowdown already, at 10X forward earnings. We think it is fine to hold but a bit of patience might be needed here.
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