Stockchase Opinions

Keith Richards Bank of America BAC-N DON'T BUY Feb 02, 2016

Chart shows a base of $15, and he was trying to trade between $15 and $18, and then there was a breakdown. Banks make a little bit more money when rates go up, and there was an outlook for that to happen, but it now may or may not happen. Thinks it will get a return to $15 on an oversold bounce, and he doesn’t like a big long base break down like this.

$13.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
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DON'T BUY
BAC vs. TD

Likes TD a lot. Very undervalued at 10x PE. Potential for multiple to rerate in medium term. More upside as it distances itself from the overhang of regulatory infractions. All that should give you a better total return. He'd pick TD.

For BAC, even with deregulation in US, the big banks are already so large, it's hard to imagine they'd be allowed to get even bigger.

TOP PICK

Stock's fallen a fair bit, which was unexpected given the numbers reported last week. Lots of capital; lots of room to increase dividend and buy back shares. Environment is tough with potential recession. Trading at 1x book, 10x PE. Some of the best businesses in the world -- asset management, financial services, capital markets (one of the top 4 players globally), retail, credit cards. Yield is 2.74%.

(Analysts’ price target is $48.46)
BUY

High quality. Globalization is starting to move in a different direction, so this option provides a more domestic focus.

BUY

The US banks are cheap in valuation, and benefit from an M&A cycle that will come.

BUY

Keep a full weighting in the financial sector, which is primed for doing well in the next leg of the market. The sector is not expensive and has policy tailwinds. Banks are best capitalized in their history. It's a red herring--don't be scared off by Trump's Big, Beautiful Bill (and the fear of higher taxes).

BUY

Trades at 1.25x book value and almost a 3% dividend yield. Are growing revenues and increasing market share. Will benefit from IPOs and M&A. Wealth management generates recurring revenues. They keep costs low.

BUY

It reports Wednesday. Trades at only 13x PE, cheap because of the relentless selling by Berkshire Hathaway. But when that selling stops, the PE will be much higher. He expects a good quarter.

BUY

Is not effected by tariffs, unless tariffs impact the broader economy strongly. BAC reports tomorrow and he expects good numbers. (Bank earnings today sees improving net interest income, which bodes well for BAC.)

DON'T BUY

The only big bank that missed on the top line, due to a net interest income line miss. They maintained their full-year net interest income forecast. Falling short were markets and banking segments. Shares fell today.

BUY

They sounded reasonably positive in the recent quarter and he is positive on the space. Rate cuts should be supportive for net interest margins in the banking industry.