AppLovin CorporationAPPDON'T BUYFeb 26, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 14, 2026. Market Open.
Provides AI solutions in the advertising and marketing space. Stock's had a tough time over the past year due to concerns over being disrupted by AI agents, and that overhang remains. Price is below a falling 200-day MA. Technically, tough name to own.
Fundamental metrics look interesting. Earnings growth rate of 30%, ~17x forward PE. But the chart keeps him away.
Their extreme valuation has compressed so much. Will see strength in ads, gaming and e-commerce. The street's earnings estimate is very high, so Cadence has to beat that. Can free cash flow come in above $3 billion? Are in an uncertain environment. That need a super report to restore bullish sentiment.
Up 108% last year, though weakened in recent months. Trades at 43x PE. Has great growth and is very profitable. They have no competitors. Revenue tripled over the last 4 years while revenue climbed from nothing to $9.37 EPS. Growth will continue, maybe accelerate at 37% revenue growth and 56% earnings growth.
The stock is down 4% today. There was a lawsuit filed relating to the big decline earlier this year, but we would not consider this to be of any significance. The stock has had a huge run, up 133% in six months. We would view the dip as a correction. Risks and volatility exists here, but we would be willing to buy today.
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Is -18% so far this week. If you hold it, ask what is the journey in your ownership of this stock. He entered this at $76 last summer. They had a parabolic move and obviously, he's unhappy with the recent downward move. It reported Feb. 12, made a new high on Feb. 13, then unwound after that. He predicted institutional selling, which is happening now. Rising volumes may lead to a near-term bottom, and will likely go sideways.