Stock price when the opinion was issued
AOI has lots of cash, a cheap valuation and very rapidly growing revenue and earnings as wells come onto production over the next two years. It is fairly small and needs to be considering high risk, but we would see it as a BUY for small cap sector investors.
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He likes out-of-favour assets. Oil & gas are out of favour, especially in Africa. Wonderful job of paying down debt from latest acquisition. Can now focus on returning cashflow to shareholders, while still exploring Nigeria and Namibia.
Trades at 50% discount to net present value of existing Nigerian assets, which means you get everything else for less than free. Still has backing from the successful Lundin family. Yield is 4%.
Selling at a 50% discount to his assumed NAV. Primarily operates in Nigeria, second in Namibia. Likes Lundin family management (wonderful track record), and he's done business with them for almost 50 years. Aggressively returns cash to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks. Strengthening its balance sheet, reinvesting in the business. Yield is 3.53%.
(Analysts’ price target is $3.38)
They did what they said they would do. Crazy big wells. There is no infrastructure near these wells. The stock could double, but there is political risk and no infrastructure.