Gordon ReidAgco CorporationAGCOTOP PICKMar 16, 2023
Farm equipment manufacturer. Smaller competitor to DE, which he also owns. Trades around 9x next year's expected earnings. Reasonable debt. Expanding footprint. 58% of revenue comes from Europe, and this has weighed on stock, but it will pass. Farm prices are rising. Tech-enhanced equipment increases crop yields. Yield is 0.81%.
They reported at the end of July. Has rebounded 55% from its April lows after reporting a strong set of numbers, despite YOY sales declines. What matters is their earnings beat and raising their forecast.
Agriculture has been struggling from geopolitical worries, low prices for key crops and high interest rates. They reported a revenue miss and earnings miss this month, but trimmed costs with a mixed forecast.
Yesterday, they announced a 2025 forecast that was a tad short, but crop prices are in good shape, which encourages farmers to buy farming equipment. Shares are down 20% this year.
Yesterday, they reported a strong earnings beat and beat sales, but they also reiterated their full-year forecast instead of raising it. 2023 could be another good year.
Has risen 440% return since the CEO started in 2004 vs. S&P's 230%. In early-November, they delivered a blow-out quarter. A bull market in agriculture helps. Can the momentum continue?
Have done a very good job of consolidating the ice cube business. Was affected by poor weather in eastern states and southern Ontario. Would be more comfortable if more of their business was located in the south.
Farm equipment manufacturer. Smaller competitor to DE, which he also owns. Trades around 9x next year's expected earnings. Reasonable debt. Expanding footprint. 58% of revenue comes from Europe, and this has weighed on stock, but it will pass. Farm prices are rising. Tech-enhanced equipment increases crop yields. Yield is 0.81%.
(Analysts’ price target is $154.17)