Stockchase Opinions

Gordon Reid AbbVie Inc. ABBV-N BUY Feb 08, 2022

It's done extremely well for him, but he's watching this carefully. Trades under 10x earnings and pays a 4% dividend. It's been growing well on their very successful Humera drug, but that goes off-patent in 2023. So, ABBV is working hard to fill that gap. They have a few promising drugs ramping up, but they will need to ramp up to the $10 billion range to fill Humera's shoes. A few years ago, they bought Botox which long-term will be good for ABBV, despite a slowdown during Covid. He still likes ABBV, but is keeping an eye on it in case earnings stall.
$142.800

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WEAK BUY

The drug companies are in the dog house. If you buy this, you must be patient. It yields 4%.

TOP PICK

It is a large cap biotech with a temporary pullback. Humera went off patent so there are some declines in revenue. He really likes the re-iteration of Humera which has taken off. Also it is re-designing a mistrial.          Buy 20  Hold 10  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $203.96)
BUY

His best performer so far this year, up 12%. Well-managed. They replaced Humira with hit drugs and added key companies; pays a 3.2% dividend. 

BUY

Skyrizi continues to work.

PARTIAL BUY

Has no patent cliff. They have great franchises in oncology, immunology and others. Shares are down because bond yields are rising. Dividend pays only 3.7%, below interest rates. That said, good to start a position now given their drugs, including Botox.

BUY

It's up over 8% this year, beating the market. The PE is 15x. Has consistent topline growth due to Skyrizi as well as Botox and arthritis. High-quality. Pays a 3.5% dividend.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 27/25, Up 9%)

Has owned this over a decade. Loves it when they bought Allergan. The concern lay with Humira coming off patent a year ago, but they used Humira's cash flow to diversify their entire franchise. Pays a solid yield and offers around 9% EPS growth.

TRADE
Good run, about 6% of a portfolio.

Seems to have grown to a bigger piece of the portfolio than the investor is comfortable with. Doesn't have too strong an opinion on this particular stock. If you want to trim, a great way is to sell a covered call -- you sell somebody the right to buy the stock from you at a higher price. 

With shares right now around $194, you can sell a September $200 call for about $4.50. If the stock doesn't go up, then you end up just hanging on to your stock.

BUY

Abbvie and AZN are two good healthcare stocks, a sector in which you must be picky because of weakness. Both trade around 15x and pay around a 3% dividend yield.

BUY

Is up 10% this year despite losing Humira. They have a strong drug pipeline, like Rinvoq up 40% YOY.