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Consumer discretionary hasn't held up, because consumer sentiment has fallen, taking SHAK down. But SHAK's fundamentals remain the same. RSI is at 30, so is oversold. That said, it's trendless and this is not a buying opportunity. It could be rangebound for a while. He's long-term and will hold. Traders love it here, though.

So much is about sentiment and the street expects a massive cut to earnings. We haven't seen their full-year estimates. 

You're buying this at a lower multiple as recently as January. If you think earnings will hold up as well as AI and data centre spending, this makes sense.

You're buying this at a lower multiple as recently as January. If you think earnings will hold up as well as AI and data centre spending, this makes sense.

Sitting now atop its 50- and 200-day moving averages and finding support.

In his experience, gold's done well when people are concerned about maintaining their purchasing power in fiat-currency-denominated instruments. 

Clearly, the world's reserve currency (USD) is challenged by a few things. Nervousness about impending trade wars from the US with virtually everybody. Also, ongoing concerns about debt and deficits. Many people focus on the on-balance sheet government liabilities of $36T. But you also need to pay attention to off-balance sheet obligations like Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security -- those numbers exceed $100T. Funding those nominal obligations suggests that, over time, the US government's going to have to resort to printing. This would not be good for the USD, but would be very good for gold.

People who own it, and people who are traders, can wait to increase the size of their position. It's hard for him to understand why anybody wouldn't own physical gold as insurance. Given the USD, debt, deficits, and political dysfunction in the US, all that suggests that anyone who's prudent and understands gold's traditional role as insurance would want to own gold.

It sounds perverse, but it's almost as though you want to buy in but pray it doesn't go up.

In the very near term, may trade off because it's acquiring CXB. Looking out over 1 year, suspects Canadian operations will ramp up and they'll do very well as they generate more free cash. Larger size means likely included in more indexes.

The fact that TECK.B is a shareholder speaks well for it, and he should pay attention to that. Explores and develops copper and gold in Mongolia.

His suspicion is that Asian retail buyers, and the Chinese central banks, are inclined to support their own markets. He doesn't believe there's any long-term effort to suppress the price of gold. In the near term, though, all markets are manipulated.

He'd generally look at price disparities among markets and explain them away by the relative attractiveness of the commodity in various cultures. Asians have been the predominant buyers of gold for the past 3 years, so makes perfect sense that the Shanghai exchange has more buyers than sellers; whereas the NA exchange is much more evenly balanced.

If you believe that the iron price doesn't fall further, then a pretty decent buy here. For those who believe in his natural resource thesis over 5 years, you have to own it. Need to pay attention to the global economy, but especially the Chinese economy. 

He's less concerned about 20% fluctuations in the stock price over time, and more concerned about long-term value and the sustainability of the dividend.

He has too much cash in his portfolio as a consequence of some dispositions. Normally, he tries to run 10-12% in his portfolio, and he's much higher than that right now. This has happened over the last year or so. He's been unable to deploy all his cash in suitably attractive opportunities. He's comforted in the fact that Warren Buffett's in a similar situation.

Cash gives you the tools and sometimes the courage to take advantage of difficult market conditions.

Doesn't own, but it's the kind of gold company that likely does well in next 2 years. He suspects that over the next 1-2 years, mid-cap names such as this will either do well or will be taken over. Scale matters in equity markets today; mere inclusion in indexes is good for the share price.

Diversified its royalty base. Coal royalties are effectively valued at 0, due to political incorrectness of coal; but they generate substantial free cashflow. Free cashflows in the royalty business are very strong, as you don't have operating or capital costs. Looks to be in for a period of revenue growth, suggesting pretty dramatic FCF growth.

Either the share price goes up, or it gets taken over by another royalty company. 

Cheap. Waiting to see outcome of penalties for catastrophic tailings dam failure in Brazil. He needs to do a net present value analysis. Iron has been fairly weak recently, but company still generates substantial free cash from Brazil.