Is -18% so far this week. If you hold it, ask what is the journey in your ownership of this stock. He entered this at $76 last summer. They had a parabolic move and obviously, he's unhappy with the recent downward move. It reported Feb. 12, made a new high on Feb. 13, then unwound after that. He predicted institutional selling, which is happening now. Rising volumes may lead to a near-term bottom, and will likely go sideways.
It feels like NVDA is running in place, up 5% since August 28, 2024 earnings. Today's report will be the first time since mid-2022 when the stock has been negative since its prior report. In options, you're getting more of a premium for the puts vs. the calls. He doesn't know if this is the right play. NVDA now is consolidating and expects shares to pingpong between $115 and $145.
There's a lot riding on the print (earnings after the close) today. Shares are down 17% since the DeepSeek news. Now, we're hearing export controls. However, the hyperscalers have not changed their capex spending on AI ; DeepSeek had no real impact, including Microsoft and Meta and Amazon. We need to hear from NVDA $38 billion in revenue and guide $2-3 billion over and above, and hear about insatiable demand. He expects a strong print.
Expects the sector to recover this year, and likes current prices.