BUY

Broken above resistance, a positive breakout. Also seeing higher lows, which is positive as well. Will probably target the high from 2022.

WATCH
Strategic review of all operations. Investor day in 2H of 2025 to provide clarity.

Earnings disappointed today, withdrawing some guidance. Not looking good from a fundamental perspective. He thinks they're just getting rid of all the bad stuff at this point, a clean sweep for the new CEO. 

Technically, pulled back to the bottom of the range of support, looks like it will hold. Could have a few days of really negative performance. Once things settle down, it will meander around here a bit. Eventually, the negative news will wear off.

BUY

Pulled back from earlier this year. Broke downward trend line (a really good sign), now seeing a base and a breakout. Technicals look good, could break higher.

SELL

Not sure of the negative impetus for the recent pullback. Underperforming the industrial sector when the market's going up -- not a good sign. Question why you're there. Could see further weakness.

HOLD
An unbelievable 800% over the past 3 years.

Can't really do technical analysis on a chart like this, as there's no real pattern that's taking place. Doesn't think year-end profit-taking will weigh on the stock.

BUY
Is uptrend seasonal or long term?

From late 2022, you can see the breakout of the positive band. Technically, you can't deny that it's a good setup. From a seasonal perspective, tends to perform well this time of year. Can also do well into April.

WAIT

Commodity index hasn't done well either, and NTR is somewhat correlated with that. Unperformed, but now forming a base. Not seeing a strong impetus for stock to increase. Commodities are taking a backseat to tech and growth.

Longer term, will be a fantastic play as fertilizer demand grows. But not now.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Utilities sector has done really well, particularly in the US. Sector tends to be weak in January/February. Technicals show a pullback and breakdown, could see further weakness. In the right place fundamentally over the long term.

BUY

Broke the downward trend, upward trend hasn't broken. Positive when you're in an upward trend.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 03/24, Up 4%)

(Note the short timeframe.)  A defensive pick at the time. Sector did well until September, then started to break down. He sold. When the market's running hot, healthcare doesn't take off. Not now in a seasonally strong period.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 03/24, Up 19%)

(Note the short timeframe.)  Sector has been helped by falling interest rates, plus forecasted huge uptick in energy requirements by data centres. Also benefits from being defensive. This is the soft way to play that trend. Now seeing topping out and seasonal weakness (January/February). Not a preferred sector at present.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 03/24, Up 7%)

(Note the short timeframe.)  Strong performance with interest rates falling. Tends to perform well in summer months, starting to see a pullback. Coming up to a time when government bonds tend not to perform so well. Better places to be now.

Disclosure:  He works for Global X (previously Horizons).

COMMENT
Seasonality.

For both Canada and the US, it's the same broad perspective on a yearly basis. Market tends to do better in the 6 months from mid-October to early May. That's compared to the other 6 months of the year. Right now, we're in the strong seasonal time for equity markets overall. So growth sectors tend to do well, and discretionary and cyclicals. Defensive sectors tend to lag.

This past summer the stock market did really well, not typical unless you're coming out of a recession. Before that in 2022, we saw the market in Canada go down a lot from May to October.

Seasonality puts him on a 1-year repeating cycle, where he's in and out of different parts of the market at different times of the year.

BUY

Based for a long time, then broke out. That's why it's important when you see a base like that, look for opportunities from a technical perspective. Still in an upward trend, stay in it until it breaks that trend.

SELL

Has broken down. Also seeing lower highs. Looks to be forming a descending triangle, which is not positive from a technical perspective. May start to see economic challenges. Not a preferred place to be.