Today, The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki and The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) commented about whether CNHI-N, LYV-N, PKI-T, EG-N, SFTC-T, L-N, KO-N, QQQ-Q are stocks to buy or sell.
Yes. He heard a speaker last week, who defined risk as what remains after you've accounted for all the risk you can think of.
There's quite a bit of risk in the world right now with respect to geopolitical disruption. Conflict in Middle East is escalating instead of abating. The invasion of Ukraine is in its third year now and going strong. US election year, and a lot is riding on those results.
Canada, relative to the rest of the world right now, is economically and politically stable. Inflation's coming down, so the bite of higher rates is beginning to take effect. At around 16x earnings, valuation multiples of the TSX continue to be very attractive relative to many markets around the world. Whereas the S&P 500 trades at about 22-23x earnings. TSX has a great yield of about 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 at less than half of that.
He's finding a lot of opportunities in the interest-sensitive stocks, which includes telcos, banks, and utilities. These groups tend to have higher dividend yields so, in a higher rate environment, investors shift funds from these higher-yielding equities to fixed income for the better-perceived risk. This shift has made the higher-dividend payers attractive.
Energy sector continues to be very defensive. High dividend yields by returning cash to shareholders through share buybacks. Energy share prices are supported by the higher price of the commodity, oil.
See his Top Picks.
Globally diversified, with 50% of revenue from US. Profitability is 20% ROE, considerably higher than market average of 12% in Canada, and US average of 14%. More leverage than he's comfortable with. Share price has moved sideways for a couple of years. Virtually no yield, so you need capital appreciation to create alpha. 20x PE, quite expensive for a real estate company. He'd be interested around $120.
Volatile profitability, typical for a cyclical commodity company. Profitability stronger in recent years. Well managed balance sheet over the last decade, with minimal debt. Inexpensive valuation, as earnings have moved higher on the back of elevated commodity prices. Upgrades continue to push share price higher. He'd be interested around $20.