Halloween is the core selling season. Largest chocolate producer in NA. 45% dominant share in chocolate, 30+% in general confectionery. Small, but fast-growing, salty snacks business. Small business selling into both EMs and developed markets.
Best-in-class operating margins, 10 points above peers. 26% ROIC at 3x its cost of capital, leading all peers. Best ESG rating. Pullback due to price increases and volume declines. Trades at 20x earnings vs. long-term average of 24x. Yield is 2.35%.
After recent merger, now one of the top 10 banks in the US, operating in 32 states. Merger will bring cost savings. Strong suit is commercial banking and lending. Large Canadian wealth management, good-sized NA capital markets, plus a smaller insurance business. 13% ROE plus 7% growth rate in dividends, resulting in a double-digit return over the coming cycle. Yield is 5.17%.
(Analysts’ price target is $127.24)
"Baby with bathwater." Net interest margin compression, credit provisions picking up. Credit cycles follow interest cycles like night follows day. Nothing likely to derail the dividend, verging on 5% and growing at 7-8%. HSBC acquisition will cement leading position further in Canadian banking.