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Today, The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki and The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) commented about whether HOG-N, BB-T, CNQ-T, BTO-T, SOFI-Q, UP-N, CVNA-N are stocks to buy or sell.

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TOP PICK

Founded in 2012 and based in Phoenix, Carvana's mission is to change the way people buy cars. By removing the traditional dealership infrastructure and replacing it with technology and exceptional customer service, Carvana offers consumers an intuitive and convenient online car buying and financing platform. Carvana.com enables consumers to quickly and easily shop more than 20,000 vehicles, finance, trade-in or sell their current vehicle to Carvana, sign contracts, and schedule as-soon-as-next-day delivery or pickup at one of Carvana's patented, automated Car Vending Machines. Social media mentions are up 152% in the past 24h.

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Discover an exclusive list and analysis of the stocks that are trending on social medias—accessible only to our Premium subscribers. With a keen focus on the stocks that are setting social media ablaze, this weekly feature offers an invaluable lens through which to evaluate market movers. Say goodbye to the endless scroll through social media timelines; we curate the buzz so you can invest your time as wisely as your money. Unlock Premium Now.

TOP PICK

Wheels Up, the leading brand in private aviation, is the only company in the industry to offer a total private aviation solution that includes world-class safety, service, and flexibility through on-demand private flights across all cabin categories, membership programs, corporate solutions, aircraft management, whole aircraft sales, and commercial travel benefits through a strategic partnership with Delta Air Lines. Wheels Up, which was founded and is led by renowned entrepreneur Kenny Dichter, is uniquely positioned to offer its Customers and Members access to over 1,500 safety-vetted and verified aircraft. Through the Wheels Up App anyone can search, book, and fly. Wheels Up Connect, Core, and Business memberships provide enhancements such as flight sharing, empty-leg Hot Flights, Shuttle Flights, Shared Flights, signature Wheels Down events, and exclusive member benefits from preeminent lifestyle brands. The Company's ongoing Wheels Up Cares program aligns with philanthropic organizations and initiatives that affect and matter to the Company and its Customers, Members, stakeholders, families, and friends. The Wheels Up Cares fleet is comprised of five custom painted Beechcraft King Air 350i aircraft; each plane serves as a flying symbol for a specific cause. Social media mentions are up 233% in the past 24h.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

BTO is a million ounces a year gold producer with assets in Mali, the Philippines and Namibia.  Analysts expect quarterly production will be reported to have hit record levels in Q4:22 -- up over 25% on the year -- when earnings are released later this month.  It pays a good dividend for a gold producer, backed by a payout ratio under 75% of cash flow.  It trades at under 2x book value.  We like that cash reserves are growing, while debt is being retired.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $4.40, looking to achieve $7.50 -- upside potential of 38%.  Yield 4.0%

(Analysts’ price target is $7.50)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

At $80 WTI, CNQ is generating massive cash flow.  In 2022 funds were up 66% and cash reserves are the highest level in at least 5 years and that is after paying down debt aggressively.  This will be a play on forward global oil prices, but oil prices don't need to go higher to see a good return on this investment.  It trades at 2.2x book and less than 5x cash flow and it supports a 32% ROE.  Plus it pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $58, looking to achieve $92 -- upside potential of 17%.  Yield 4.3%

(Analysts’ price target is $92.00)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

The forgotten Canadian cell phone developer has re-invented itself in the cybersecurity space and is investing heavily into AI technology - partnering with Amazon's web services.  Although operating at quarterly loss, cash reserves are growing and it trades at under 2x book.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $4.25, looking to achieve $8.00 -- upside potential over 33%.  Yield 0%

(Analysts’ price target is $8.03)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 22/22, Up 27%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with HOG has achieved its objective at $48.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $34) to $42.  If triggered, this would result in a net investment gain of 18%, when combined with this recommendation to cover half.  

COMMENT
Earnings season.

The trend is that this is still lagging data, seeing last year's results. Numbers have been reasonable -- not blowout, but not as negative as was feared. It's going to be more about how does 2023 unfold as the rise in interest rates gets digested for a full calendar year. 

COMMENT
Inflation.

The story maybe has played out in terms of YOY increases, but the squeezing of the economy has not yet played out. Consumer wages haven't kept up with price increases. Wages have recently ticked up, but on a 3-year basis they're well behind increases in food, energy, and broad CPI. Now increased interest costs are also squeezing the consumer, and we're only 6 months into that cycle. As that plays out across a full year, plus the view that durable goods were stocked up during the pandemic, the earnings story in 2023 gets worse and so does the economy. The market's saying we're going to get both a soft landing and a decline in interest rates at the end of the year, and he doesn't think you can have both. We might actually get neither, and the market is not properly discounting that.

COMMENT
Cash on hand.

Currently up to about 15% of a portfolio. The big difference from last year is the rate we're getting on cash balances, nearly 4%. At that rate, you can afford to be patient for a few quarters. When rates were low, there was more impetus to get that money invested. Notwithstanding the very strong market action over the past week or so, we may yet see a significant buying opportunity open up. Remember that last year, too, markets looked very positive in the first few months.

BUY

Looks positive from here. Price checked back pretty aggressively based on weak Q3 from inadequate hedging, company says that won't repeat. Core US utility business seeing 8-10% growth. Yield over 4%, good 6% dividend increase last year, increases should continue. 

BUY

Weak finish last year due to regulatory problems in Nova Scotia, plus Florida storm damage. All utilities had a downdraft in Sept/Oct last year. Likes it here, buying at these levels. Electricity demand will continue, and distribution infrastructure will increase as a multi-decade story.

HOLD

Significant capital expenditures. Announced a further 3-year plan, and that will stress the EPS and cashflow numbers. Once the build is complete, capex should decline and earnings should grow. Dividend increases should, perhaps, be slowed. In 3-4 years, the payout ratio should normalize. In the meantime, it's vulnerable to something going wrong, payout ratio and credit rating getting stressed, dividend getting cut. He doesn't see that happening, growth is predictable and not as subject to inflationary pressures. Still expensive at these levels, try for mid-low $50s.

DON'T BUY
BNS vs. TRP

Two completely different sectors. First questions are what's already in your portfolio and at what weighting? Similar dividend yields and similarly disappointing to investors in 2022. BNS has had poor performance for quite some time, and now a leadership change. TRP has a good, strong management team, but cost overruns. At these levels, he prefers TRP -- underlying business doing quite well, core fundamentals extremely strong, project issues will get solved though investors may have to wait a bit.