WEAK BUY
SHOP vs. AMZN Both have extremely long runways. In uncertain times, he'd rather recommend a megacap like AMZN, which has more defenses if we were to go into a recession, and that's a big "if". SHOP at $338 US is an absolute bargain. He has a 5% position in AMZN, one of his top 5 holdings, but less than 1% in SHOP.
WAIT
Leader in AI, with the smartest people. Will become a significant player, but still early. Not profitable, and profitability is years down the road. Total addressable AI market is 119B. Lots of the megacaps already have revenue to divert to AI. (Analysts’ price target is $10.56)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 04/21, Down 24%) Down 24%, which sounds ugly, but it's actually the best-looking one in the crowd. Long runway to the price target. If you think that a year from now, inflation and rates will have calmed down, the tech sector will be led by the likes of this company. Profitable, free cashflow. 99% contract renewal rate. (Analysts’ price target is $625.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 04/21, Down 70%) He got out as the macro picture changed. Lowered guidance because of lower borrowing demand. (Analysts’ price target is $51.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 04/21, Down 85%) Online platform connecting buyers and sellers for digital services. Not profitable. Financial metrics make it hard to wade back in.
BUY
New CEO is both an engineer and management operator, exactly what INTC needs. Product line breadth gives it a huge advantage. Added acquisitions every year for the last 5. Free cashflow machine, very profitable. Enviable gross margins by making most of its own chips. Leader in CPUs and autonomous vehicle chips. Price target is $56.
COMMENT
Semiconductor space. The semi space has come off a good 50-60%. Though he's unsure of the macro headwinds, he kept his stocks and shorted the SOXX to protect the portfolio.
BUY
Nice long runway. Chips are the engine of digitization. Leadership in 5G. Recent acquisition gives them stronger lines into smartphones, Windows PC, and automotives. Likes it. (Analysts’ price target is $197.50)
COMMENT
What to do if you're down on this investment? Very aggressive going after the innovators. Everyone should have the tools to at least weather bear markets, if not profit. To protect yourself in ARKK, you can buy the PSQ, which is the inverse of the QQQ. What he does is use equity indices to protect his long stocks. Yes, this year he's down 7%. But this is very manageable compared to the NASDAQ that's down 33%. ARKK's down more than that.
COMMENT
Portfolio protection for aggressive tech positions. Everyone should have the tools to at least weather bear markets, if not profit. To protect yourself in a name like ARKK, you can buy the PSQ, which is the inverse of the QQQ. What he does is use equity indices to protect his long stocks. Yes, this year he's down 7%. But this is very manageable compared to the NASDAQ that's down 33%. ARKK's down more than that.
BUY
To protect yourself in a name like ARKK, you can buy the PSQ, which is the inverse of the QQQ.
COMMENT
E-commerce. Painted with the same brush as SHOP. If you own some of these tech names, you need to put protections in place to defend your long positions.
TOP PICK
A great opportunity. Don't often get a chance to buy on the cheap. Such a long runway to price target. Phenomenal moat. Extremely profitable. Still a high bar on innovation. High margins on services, about 67%. Yield is 0.69%. (Analysts’ price target is $184.42)
TOP PICK
Another great opportunity. 6.3B monthly active users. 45% penetration. Swinging away from software to hardware. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $280.14)
TOP PICK
Likes this because of the off-chance of a recession. Did reasonably well during the last couple of recessions. Client base is really sticky. His 12-month price target is $415. Yield is 1.38%. (Analysts’ price target is $388.42)