SELL
They supply software to companies, such as analytics. Trades at a high 50x earnings, and their earnings outlook for 12 months is flat. A great company, but a hold at best, but would otherwise sell it.
BUY
SLF vs. ATD'B ATD is doing very well because oil prices are high. Also, they are on the verge of buying a company. Both add to upside. SLF is the best Canadian insurer, with stable, but slow earnings growth. It will benefit from higher interest rates. Buy and put away and own for the dividend. Shares are down 5-10% from last year's high, so good to enter now.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
A classic growth stock. The market got excited over it for its dominance in videogames; they entered cars and warehousing. Then the market slowed down. Trades at a high PE. Great long term, but is watching what happens in 6-9 months. Could be more downside, but average down.
BUY
SLF vs. ATD'B ATD is doing very well because oil prices are high. Also, they are on the verge of buying a company. Both add to upside. SLF is the best Canadian insurer, with stable, but slow earnings growth. It will benefit from higher interest rates. Buy and put away and own for the dividend. Shares are down 5-10% from last year's high, so good to enter now.
BUY
Are bank stocks safe again? Canadian banks have outperformed the TSX throughout his entire career. There's fear that rising rates will make mortgages uncertain. But given this correction, you can nibble at the Canadian banks now, one of the safest assets in Canada, since they are protected by law. His favourite bank here is BNS given their exposure in South America, which were badly hit by Covid and they have wide mining exposure. The safer bet is CIBC, because it's well-managed, is more exposed to the Canadian economy which is thriving because of demand for natural resources, and it pays a good dividend.
TOP PICK
Still incredible growth of 15% annually for the next few years with earnings at 18-20%, he projects. It trades at 22.5x PE and they will buy back $78 billion (5% of market cap) in shares over the next 12 months. Their cloud business is #3 behind AWS and MSFT and growing nicely. Ad revenues will hold. They're spending $30 billion in R&D; divisions like Waymo are huge and not even absorbed in the stock. The best of the FAANGs. (Analysts’ price target is $3274.28)
TOP PICK
Everyone is aware of Boeing's problems with the 737 Max (there's a film about this is on Netflix). The Airbus 320neo is outselling the 737. They also have a big defence business in Europe, and defence budgets are rising. This trades at 20x earning, so not cheap, but earnings will grow by 12-13% annually for the coming decade. (Analysts’ price target is $40.59)
TOP PICK
It was at $50 before Covid, then they did a lot of refinancing during Covid, but AC are in a strong position as we reopen. Demand to travel is strong. Will rise into the $30s, then gradually grow. (Analysts’ price target is $29.75)
COMMENT
Educational Segment. Looking at some indicators, it looks like stocks are oversold. Looking at seasonality for the second year of a presidential cycle, you see a period of a cautionary area. May tends to perform the worst. We are probably oversold that there will be a bounce after. Area of opportunity right now. Tradable.
COMMENT
Largest 40 companies in Latin America. Get some Mexico, Brazil, etc.. Get oil and gas, banks, metals, etc.. Only thing to keep in mind is the elections in Brazil later this year.
DON'T BUY
You could pick up in the low $90s. Doesn't think it is the right time to buy currently. Would look at it at the low $80s. Central bank moves will still affect them more.
WAIT
As a short term trader, maybe, but this trade is already in the market. Global spending on defence will be going up so you could buy the dips. Start looking at it 10% lower.
COMMENT
As interest rates rise, lifecos tend to do better. On the other hand, it is offset by weaker equity markets. It will be choppy. For a trade, you could accumulate here. He owns Manulife instead. Range trade this.
COMMENT
Bond returns have been terrible. It won't give investors what you hoped for. Need to look elsewhere. A big challenge. Could trade here.
COMMENT
From day to day, it will be very choppy. Volatility is telling him we are in a bear market. Not down 20% yet, but over the next 6 months, we will see the US stock market below 20% its peak. Canadian market is a different situation with exposure to energy and commodities. Won't see such a large correction. However, TSX didn't get as much of the upside.