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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We again reiterate KNX as a TOP PICK. Despite the pandemic related challenges within the North American trucking industry, it continues to prove itself. Cash flow continues to grow, while the company buys back shares. It trades with a PEG ratio under 1.0 and at 1.6x book value. It pays a small (but growing) dividend backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. We continue to recommend a stop loss at $52, looking to achieve $67 - upside potential over 14%. Yield 0.69% (Analysts’ price target is $66.58)
Transportation

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As one of the largest luxury home builders in the US, we again reiterate TOL as a TOP PICK. Continued low interest rates sparking new construction should allow the company to pay down debt and buy back stock. Recently reported earnings beat analyst expectations by over 20% and ROE is 16%. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 15% of cash flow. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 15x and is just over 1.5x book value. We continue to recommend a stop at $60.00, looking to achieve $80.00 -- upside potential over 16%. Yield 0.99% (Analysts’ price target is $79.75)
contractors

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With oil prices remaining above $65 and the threat of inflation returning post-pandemic, we reiterate CVX as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings beat analyst expectations by 33%. The company is a dividend aristocrat, increasing the dividend for the past 33 consecutive years. Next year’s projected earnings place the dividend payout ratio under 65% of cash flow. We recommend trailing up the stop to $101, looking to achieve $130 – upside over 12%. Yield 4.72% (Analysts’ price target is $129.55)
integrated oils

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 09/21, Down 7.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with GPK has triggered its stop at $19. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with the previous buy recommendation, this will result in a net investment gain of 7%.
Consumer Products

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 16/21, Down 2.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with BBWI has triggered its stop at $68.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with the previous buy recommendation this will result in a break-even net investment.
Consumer Products
COMMENT
Sometimes tax-loss selling offers bargains this time of year, but not always. Normally, you get a Santa Claus Rally then the January Effect, but markets have been so strong and run up for the past 1.5 years, so maybe there is tax-loss selling now. But but the bigger worry is interest rates. Central banks seem to be raising them after keeping them so low. We've seen asset inflation and now inflation in the real economy, so rates could rise, which will pressure asset prices. Governments have been pumping so much money into the system that no real inflation like in the 1970s has happened. But this could change in 2022.
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COMMENT
EV stock to buy? He owns no EV stocks, including Tesla. It's a tough sector from a PE perspective--valuations are too high. One could say these are not EV stocks at all, but rather a way of transforming one's life. There will be big opportunities in this space, but during Covid, people have changed how to get from point A to B. Three of his four adult children don't drive and the younger generation will see driving differently from his generation.
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