COMMENT
Caution doesn't apply to every stock? That's right. Most of the averages are capitalization weighted. The very large companies are doing better and driving the indexes higher. So, while the indexes are at record levels, the average company is 10% below its record level. Worries include high valuations as well as Covid.
COMMENT
A sense of unreality in the markets now? Market looks into the future, and it's telling us that there is an end in sight. The risk is that the market gets it wrong. By "market", he means the cumulative weight of all investment dollars. The market has a strong record of getting it right.
BUY

Quite high on it. Near term bumps in the road. UTX is highly correlated with the aerospace business. Raytheon is more insulated. Together, sees an $8-9 rise in stock price. Thinks they can generate a lot of cash. You might have to show a bit of patience with it. It will do well once the economy gets its footing.

DON'T BUY
Not so high on this one. Trouble getting traction. Exposed to the global economy. Revenues for 2021 will be lower than in 2018. Profitability metrics are challenged. PFAS lawsuit is building steam, which could be as big as asbestos or lead in paint issues.
HOLD
Lots or runway here. Low multiple, great cash flow. Will benefit from much needed infrastructure spending in the US.
COMMENT
How to decide when to sell? That's the difficult part. Take an unemotional view. How does it compare to its own history, its peer group, and to all of the opportunities out there? He likes it trading at or below its historical norm in terms of valuation metrics. It should be competitive against its peers and the market.
BUY

VZ vs. T Dividend stocks are much more valuable in low interest rate environments. He'd go with Verizon. Do you want to just go for the very high dividend? This could be a red flag. Could be at risk, and wiped out with capital loss on the stock side.

DON'T BUY

T vs. VZ Dividend stocks are much more valuable in low interest rate environments. He'd go with Verizon. Do you want to just go for the very high dividend? This could be a red flag. Could be at risk, and wiped out with capital loss on the stock side.

BUY
You have to look at the percentage balance in your portfolio. He's trimmed it 7 times over the 15 years he's owned it. Mathematically, it would have been better to hold, but not on a risk-adjusted basis. Long-term investors do well by being disciplined and cognizant of the risks. Generates huge amounts of cash. Strong loyalty. Lots going for it. He'd buy it today. The higher multiple is justified.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It's done so well over the years, you buy it when others don't want it, there's a lid on the price, and there's some negative press. He wouldn't bet against them.
DON'T BUY
Earnings last night were terrific, but stock went down. Price has been strong in anticipation of earnings. Valuation has already built in positive news. High 30s multiple. A very good company, but not as good a stock as it is a company.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/19, Down 6%) Continues to like it. Has pricing power, which tends to be cyclical. Combined ratio of less than 100%, which is good. Growing well, about 10% off 2019 levels. Stable.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/19, Down 14%) Sold with the downturn. He's traded more in the last 6 months than in the last 3 years. As fundamentals of the economy change, portfolios have to change. Requires density of population to be successful for parks, hotels, cruises, and sports. Would love to buy it in the future, but at less than $90.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/19, Up 22%) Sold it based on valuation. Trading at 25-26x. Largest grocer in the world, but low margins and not dynamic. Believe in the fundamentals of your research, because a stock price can turn on you very quickly.
DON'T BUY

Great concept. Opportunities to lower cost structure of US healthcare are welcome. US healthcare is more expensive than elsewhere in the world. But you're better to invest in a new concept that is under cover of an existing business, such as CVS. A pure play like TDOC is benefitting from Covid, and the stock price might wane when it's not such front page news.