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BUY ON WEAKNESS
Average down? It depends on your risk tolerance and how much you already own. BABA wins over time. It's still now that expensive vs. its growth rate. Q2 was in line as revenues grew 25% YOY. Commercial revenue was up 31%. They did offer a slowdown in their guidance due to overall China slowdown--and that's why the stock has dipped. He expects a strong growth rate in 2019. Be patient. Good fundamentals.
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COMMENT
Since 2015, their management has delivered on promises, though last quarter BBD's cash flow had a bad hiccup. Investors punished them. Also the US trade issue hurt them. BBD should be a screaming buy as long as the global economy remains fine and BBD executes. Beware: BBD carries a lot of debt and we're seeing rising interest rates. He still believes in it.
transportation equip & components
BUY
They benefit from the wide WCS differential. They just beat their earnings 7%. Excellent balance sheet. 0.3x net debt-to-EBITDA. 79% payout ratio supports their dividend, and trade cheaper than peers. Only caveat is he doesn't so as much growth in 2019. If you need to own oil, this is very defensive.
oil
gas
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 15/17, Up 2%) Emerging markets now are woefully cheap. A catalyst would be a deal with Trump and China or ZID hits a low-enough level which we're close to. ZID is still cheap to its growth rate at 16x earnings. 15.5% growth forecast. A good place to park money and you will win long-term.
E.T.F.'s
BUY
Buy during rising rates? Good company with a 75% payout ratio. Dividend growth to come. Rising rates won't upset that--he sees 5% dividend and share growth in the coming year. Valuation is in the middle at 15x. Not a huge grower now or a screaming buy. But in a few years, BCE will benefit from 5G when it hits Canada.
telephone utilities
COMMENT
Their Q3 beat the street and they're buying back shares. Bad news is they're lowering production--flat growth in coming years. Debt-to-cash flow is 2.3x which is fine. Dividend safe. But if WTI keeps falling, it'll hurt CNQ. Oil prices are manipulated by OPEC, Russia and Trump. CNQ is great at $60-70 WTI.
oil
gas
RISKY
About 66% of production lies outside Canada. It's trading cheaper than historically. He sees cash flow per share growth. Safe dividend. Good balance sheet. Market didn't like their last quarter because of weakness/concerns in the Caribbean and European operations. They made some acquisitions that'll benefit them. Buy if you feel oil will top $60-70.
oil
gas
