Market. Investors in energy have been moving away from the energy space in Canada and the US. Energy is becoming less relevant to investors as the space is becoming more complex (due to widening differentials for example). He thinks you need to see more hostile takeovers to change things. Despite reduced valuations and strong cash flow margins there is a lack of interest. Over 10% of Canadian oil demand is off line with refinery maintenance with the BP Whiting turnaround. When sentiment changes back to normal situations, he expects to see several doubles or triples going forward especially the larger cap energy stocks.
Why is energy not benefiting despite rising oil prices? He thought this was going to be a great year for WTI prices – hitting $70 per barrel. It did not and LNG projects were positive. There always seems to be another concern for investors. He is not sure what the unicorn is needed to change things. He things hostile takeovers and share buybacks are needed in 2019.
What is a good yielding energy stock? For a reasonable dividend you are limited to Vermilion, Whitecap and Torc. His preference is Torc (TOG-T) as he trusts management, it has high-quality assets and the market cap is large enough to attract interest from CPP as an investor. It is trading at 4 times cash flow with a yield of about 4%.