Helsinki Summit: Whatever effects on markets from this Putin-Trump meeting will diminish and won't last. Generally, politicians take credit for the direction of economies, but company earnings really drive markets. Earnings are the best we've seen in seven years with 20% YOY growth. All positive. The TSX is up only 2% YTD and he believes we can do better before the end of 2018. The Canadian market has long lagged the U.S. market. We are a late-cycle economy and are focussed on commodities. The current oil price drop is temporary.
They are trying to expand into other areas like salads. However, there are so many locations now that they could be cannabilizing each other. True, the company is doing really well, but is the stock doing very well? Look at valuation.
Starbucks is in the low/mid-$20s. That said, China loves Starbucks and there's big opportunity here for Starbucks. Research this.
A good play on e-commerce, and FedEx is in a great position. They have a huge fleet of trucks and airplanes, and recently bought a Dutch company to move into European delivery. Well-managed. It trades at 15x, a reasonable multiple. An opportunity to participate in e-commerce as well as transportation.
(Past Top Pick, August 17, 2017, Up 11%) There's fear out there over the flat yield curve and of course an inverted yield curve. Yes, we are in a low-interest rate environment, but the banks have changed from a decade ago. They can now money on a flat yield curve. In fact, they can make a lot of money just with rising rates, without a rising yield curve. He likes the banks in the U.S. and Canada.
It's trading at a low multiple, around 10x. But the worry is that Amazon will destroy Walgreens' model. What the market is missing is that Walgreens has 13,000 U.S. storefronts close to most of the American population. (CVS, which he
also owns, has 10,000.) The effect is to create a relationship with the patient/consumer so they can interact with a medical professional. Society is getting older, so chronic medical conditions will increase. These folks won't go to the
most expensive places to be served, meaning hospitals and emergency rooms.