This stock benefited from a run out of commodities a few years ago. There was an uptake in the success of Amazon and Google with the rise in consumer shipping. It has become too expensive now and he thinks it is not going anywhere – up or down. He would not be a buyer at these levels. He would want to see the yield back above 3.5% before re-entering.
When the dividend was cut, it was expected by the market. From here, one needs to consider the cash position of the company and advertising revenues. The company is not going away, but he sees better opportunities elsewhere. It might be a takeover target, but he does not who would step up. No buys on the street consensus. Yield 3%.
For the long term, this company will do well. It has increased its dividend for decades. He does not believe long term interest rates will rise much above 3%, so feels the recent headwinds are almost all played out. He anticipates this will be a good holding when a recession returns and interest rates are once again dropped to stimulate the economy. He would like to buy them at a slightly lower price.
This company had a big acquisition in the US and has a major project along the eastern seaboard into the US. The market is starting to question their dividend growth guidance. Overall, he looks to add to his holdings in the utility space ahead of the next recession in the next 2-3 years. You might see them get a little cheaper first, especially if it trades below $40 again.
National Bank (NA-T) vs other banks. These smaller banks are more regional (Quebec in this case). The Quebec economy is doing well. The underlying business is more capital focused and therefore more volatile in his mind. He would still prefer to own the major banks, which are trading relatively cheaply, he thinks.