COMMENT

Market. Overall he thinks the market is in the “late-innings” of the game, suggesting risk is rising, but you can still be bullish. Oil is higher and inflation are not out of control. Interest rates can still come up modestly without hurting the market. You have to be careful, the market is near the top of the cycle and as things start to break down, you have to have the discipline to step away. In the emerging market sector, it is starting to run out of steam as Turkey, Venezuela and others are becoming a mess. Thailand and India still look good.

COMMENT

Pizza or burgers? McDonald’s has a slight edge over Dominoes. At a 20 PE ratio, MCD-N has a better valuation, whereas DPZ-N still needs to grow into its PE ratio a bit more. He likes both companies with good management and good secular growth. A more conservative position is with MCD-N.

COMMENT

Pizza or burgers? McDonald’s has a slight edge over Dominoes. At a 20 PE ratio, MCD-N has a better valuation, whereas DPZ-N still needs to grow into its PE ratio a bit more. He likes both companies with good management and good secular growth. A more conservative position is with MCD-N.

WEAK BUY

This has been a real turn-around story. There was great brand recognition, then it fell under its own weight, but management changes has put them back on track. Now the issue is valuation. With a 30-32 times PE, with growth only near 20% it is looking expensive. He would favour Amazon.

BUY

It is one of their largest holdings. This is really a play on short rates. If Fed funds keep rising, then this will continue to work. The fundamentals look like they will continue to look good. The ETF is part exchange, part large cap, and interest rate sensitives trading houses. He likes it all day long.

WEAK BUY

He continues to like this. Regulatory reform and roll back is allowing regional banks to do more deals with BAC-N. It is trading only 1.2 times book value – good valuation. A great franchise, with a good business model. You might get a better bang for your buck with KRE-N.

BUY

It has been trading on 52 week high, has positive earning upgrades and all around good news. He pays them a fee for the proprietary use of their data. This is really a data company. The PE at the low to mid-20s is not bad with growth in the 30% range – a good ratio. Defensive in a down turn. Trade it knowing it is near the cycle top.

HOLD

This company is a search engine ad company, but they also have investments in the cloud and AI, where they are a leader. They have 33 quarters of over 20% growth – phenomenal. He likes the company, but says it could be subject to a pullback when the technical cycle peaks.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The social media sector, outside of Facebook, tends to have fewer levers to pull when things don’t work. Not his cup of tea at this point because it has a 40 times PE ratio after doubling in the last year. He would move part of the position into something else after the great gains. It is fully valued.

HOLD

This is highly linked to tech companies like Alphabet, Google, etc. He likes the diversification overall, but cautions it is focused on growth companies that he expects could retrace as the cycle peaks. Yield 1%.

RISKY

A very small micro-energy company. He would be very cautious and considers this as owning an option – highly volatile. It will either go up like gang-busters or collapse.

DON'T BUY

This company is in a bad place right now. When the cycle turns down, consumer staples will get hurt early. This is not a defensive stock to hide in, due to their weak fundamentals. Yield 4.6%.

BUY

The chart looks great and they have been a consistent earnings beater. He likes the fin-tech space, but this is a smaller player. They also do data analytics. Over 90% of the date on servers globally has been put there in the last 18-24 months. It is not cheap with a 30-40 PE.

HOLD

At this point in the cycle, it is at 50-60 times earnings. If you think the cycle will continue, you may switch into a lower valuation holding. He might recommend the IGV-US ETF (a North American software ETF) to take some of the risk off.

DON'T BUY

This falls into the medical device category, which he likes. The stock has gone parabolic and earnings beats have been great. It has a 50+ PE ratio. It will have to grow into that ratio before he would be buyer – needing at least 50% earnings growth.