Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
HOLD
HOLD
December 15, 2017

Has had an "up and down" year, and a lot of people are concerned, partially about the "pay in" system in the US medical market. They have surgery centres in the US. A nice little company, and the dividend is well covered by cash flow, but investors are concerned about growth potential and changes to the system. It may be a victim of "there is more excitement elsewhere". Well run and well-managed. He would view this as an income story, not 100% secure income and a relatively small company. Dividend yield of 8.3%.

Show full opinionHide full opinion

Has had an "up and down" year, and a lot of people are concerned, partially about the "pay in" system in the US medical market. They have surgery centres in the US. A nice little company, and the dividend is well covered by cash flow, but investors are concerned about growth potential and changes to the system. It may be a victim of "there is more excitement elsewhere". Well run and well-managed. He would view this as an income story, not 100% secure income and a relatively small company. Dividend yield of 8.3%.

COMMENT
COMMENT
December 15, 2017

The valuation is really low. It is below 10X earnings and the dividend is relatively attractive. The growth rate is really quite high. As you get job growth in Canada, you'll get some mobility in the workforce, which helps the furniture business as well. Also, as you get economic growth in Canada, you lose less money on your higher risk loans you are making on the easy financial side. Conditions are really, really quite good for them. Doesn't think it will ever get to a 20X earnings multiple, but thinks it is worth more than the current multiple. There is some good potential upside.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
goeasy (GSY-T)
December 15, 2017

The valuation is really low. It is below 10X earnings and the dividend is relatively attractive. The growth rate is really quite high. As you get job growth in Canada, you'll get some mobility in the workforce, which helps the furniture business as well. Also, as you get economic growth in Canada, you lose less money on your higher risk loans you are making on the easy financial side. Conditions are really, really quite good for them. Doesn't think it will ever get to a 20X earnings multiple, but thinks it is worth more than the current multiple. There is some good potential upside.

DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 15, 2017

From an operational point of view, this is a decent company. They have decent assets. However, there is a very high debt level, which is probably the main reason why it has been getting destroyed on the stock market. For investors in a struggling sector, this is just not what they want. He wouldn't recommend this because of the debt. He would rather make less money on less risk on something else.

Show full opinionHide full opinion

From an operational point of view, this is a decent company. They have decent assets. However, there is a very high debt level, which is probably the main reason why it has been getting destroyed on the stock market. For investors in a struggling sector, this is just not what they want. He wouldn't recommend this because of the debt. He would rather make less money on less risk on something else.

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 15, 2017

A software supply chain management company. The stock went from about $90 to about $60 after they lost a customer this year. Investors thought the game was over. One customer came around and they had a good quarter. Business is really, really quite strong now. He likes that they are seating the global market. They get a customer that buys 50 or 60 seats for employees, likes the solution and then comes back and buys more and more. These are multinational corporations with the potential for giant, giant orders as they expand. The company is sitting on $150 million in cash. It's not cheap, but is one of the companies where you have great growth and a great balance sheet with a great management team. (Analysts' price target is $87.50.)

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Kinaxis Inc (KXS-T)
December 15, 2017

A software supply chain management company. The stock went from about $90 to about $60 after they lost a customer this year. Investors thought the game was over. One customer came around and they had a good quarter. Business is really, really quite strong now. He likes that they are seating the global market. They get a customer that buys 50 or 60 seats for employees, likes the solution and then comes back and buys more and more. These are multinational corporations with the potential for giant, giant orders as they expand. The company is sitting on $150 million in cash. It's not cheap, but is one of the companies where you have great growth and a great balance sheet with a great management team. (Analysts' price target is $87.50.)

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 15, 2017

Steve Hudson is an entrepreneur who has grown and sold companies before. This is trading below its NAV, and is buying back stock. They had an investor presentation this week basically saying look for the 1st quarter to be pretty exciting in terms of acquisitions. They’ve made some acquisitions and dispositions. Has a great balance sheet. Thinks they will be very, very active. A leasing/finance company with low interest rates in a strong economy, trading below its asset value. A pretty safe bet for the next year. Dividend yield of 1%. (Analysts' price target is $5.00.)

Show full opinionHide full opinion
ECN Capital (ECN-T)
December 15, 2017

Steve Hudson is an entrepreneur who has grown and sold companies before. This is trading below its NAV, and is buying back stock. They had an investor presentation this week basically saying look for the 1st quarter to be pretty exciting in terms of acquisitions. They’ve made some acquisitions and dispositions. Has a great balance sheet. Thinks they will be very, very active. A leasing/finance company with low interest rates in a strong economy, trading below its asset value. A pretty safe bet for the next year. Dividend yield of 1%. (Analysts' price target is $5.00.)

TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 15, 2017

Got beat up by the Short sellers, but their business is good. They've never missed a quarter and have almost $1 billion in cash. They are going to be profitable next year, and the earnings are going to grow out about 400%-500% on a per share basis. They are now the dominant player in facilitating online merchants. Has a tie with Amazon (AMZ-Q), which is always risky, because of Amazon's power. The Short thesis was that it was a multilevel marketing company, i.e. if I joined Shopify, and got you to join, I would get paid. That was simply wrong. A US hedge fund just picked up 8% of the company. (Analysts' price target is $151.00.)

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
December 15, 2017

Got beat up by the Short sellers, but their business is good. They've never missed a quarter and have almost $1 billion in cash. They are going to be profitable next year, and the earnings are going to grow out about 400%-500% on a per share basis. They are now the dominant player in facilitating online merchants. Has a tie with Amazon (AMZ-Q), which is always risky, because of Amazon's power. The Short thesis was that it was a multilevel marketing company, i.e. if I joined Shopify, and got you to join, I would get paid. That was simply wrong. A US hedge fund just picked up 8% of the company. (Analysts' price target is $151.00.)

COMMENT
COMMENT
December 15, 2017

The balance sheet has gotten a lot better, but still not ironclad. Trading at 2.2X Debt to Cash Flow for 2018. If oil/gas gets really challenged, that could be a problem. It’s still not cheap on a 2018 multiple, but they have really nice production growth. Thinks they are going to do 17% over his forecast, which leads to Cash Flow per share of about 35%. Balance sheets are going to look a lot better in 2019 and their valuations are going to start to look better at that time. They had a bad debt situation a couple of years ago, but have had a Herculean turnaround. He probably would not want to be in the energy sector at these levels.

Show full opinionHide full opinion
Encana Corp (ECA-T)
December 15, 2017

The balance sheet has gotten a lot better, but still not ironclad. Trading at 2.2X Debt to Cash Flow for 2018. If oil/gas gets really challenged, that could be a problem. It’s still not cheap on a 2018 multiple, but they have really nice production growth. Thinks they are going to do 17% over his forecast, which leads to Cash Flow per share of about 35%. Balance sheets are going to look a lot better in 2019 and their valuations are going to start to look better at that time. They had a bad debt situation a couple of years ago, but have had a Herculean turnaround. He probably would not want to be in the energy sector at these levels.