Today, Greg Newman commented about whether ZID-T, PPL-T, ENB-T, META-Q, AAPL-Q, BBD.B-T, ARX-T, D.UN-T, TRP-T, MX-T, FTS-T, BEP.UN-T, T-T, PGF-T, RUS-T, BNS-T, RECP-T, MG-T, WJX-T, CP-T, CNR-T, BAC-N, MFC-T, ALA-T, ECA-T are stocks to buy or sell.
Had a pretty good Q3 driven by their US operations and lower costs. Their developments are attracting well. Very solid dividend growth. Has a low Payout Ratio that supports the dividend growth. There are other projects outside their capital plan that can drive growth further. Not cheap anymore, trading at around 18.5X 2018, versus its peers at around 17X. It really doesn't have the best growth. He is only modelling 3% growth 2017-2019.
They are doing a buyback. Has a strong balance sheet with 1.2X net debt to EBITDA. He models them growing earnings at 14%. Has a 31% payout ratio, so they can easily grow the dividend if they want. Trading at 13X PE. This is not bad, but he sees methanol prices staying pretty flat through 2018. This is a proxy on the global growth, so feels there is more life in this.
On Q3, they substantially completed most of their asset sales for $1.6 billion. The balance sheet is in much better shape. Has material exposure to the Toronto market which is very hot. Payout ratio is fine on 2018, but will be better in 2019. Through the asset sales their funds from operations dropped 8% 2017-2019. It’s a much better quality name now than it was. Really pricey trading at about 20X. This is one he would be selling Calls on.
This has just fallen apart with ECO prices, with Henry hub falling. The markets have been so good that portfolio managers are just taking losers and dumping them as tax loss selling targets. Thinks there will be a pop between now and the 3rd week of January. The bad news is that the dividend has a 142% effective payout ratio, so it is not safe. The balance sheet is not ironclad.
Thinks this has finally turned the corner. It is definitely risky. New management continues to deliver on goals and milestones. He believes that the sum of the parts valuation is at $3.75 and that the C series is worth another $.72. He is modelling 30% EBITDA growth 2017-2020, and it is trading at a reasonable valuation of 9.2, versus its peers of 11.6. A good risk/reward story.
Trading at a very reasonable valuation. Tim Cook has been a great custodian for the business. They haven't really done anything super bold. They have so much cash, trading at a reasonable valuation. Tech land still has very reasonable multiples and this company is very reasonable within that. Thinks there is still more to go.
This has been a tax loss selling target. There has been concern over their debt, funding of their dividend growth, whether they would be able to continue to grow at 10%, line 3 regulatory approvals, funding for their projects. Thinks it has gotten oversold and is a bit of a coiled spring. 2018 Line 3 should hit a lot of regulatory milestones. The main line volume outlook should probably clear, and he models a decent growth rate over the next couple of years. Trades at a 9.2% 2019 free cash yield, which is cheap for this. Dividend yield of 5.4%. (Analysts’ Price Target is $60.)
Just did another accretive deal in the Duvernay. Has a number of tailwinds happening. Their volumes are ramping. They bought Veresen which is integrating and going to be accretive for them. Strong natural gas liquid pricing should help them. Sees them growing earnings at 24%. Not cheap, but is reasonable given the growth and the quality. Dividend yield of 4.8%. (Analysts' price target is $51.50.)
Thematically, India has 1.3 billion people, world's largest democracy. 65% of those people are under 35, so they have 800 million of people of consumption driven growth. 7.5% GDP. Business friendly reforms. Infrastructure projects in an under penetrated market. Analysts assume the Indian stock market can grow earnings at 22%.