Today, Christine Poole commented about whether CSH.UN-T, ENB-T, UL-N, MSFT-Q, AAPL-Q, G-T, CCL.B-T, ROOT-T, GILD-Q, IPL-T, ALA-T, GE-N, BPY.UN-T, POT-T, CJR.B-T, KEY-T, SJR.B-T, VRX-T, JNJ-N, GOOG-Q, RY-T, TD-T, CAR.UN-T, ENB-T, IPL-T, BTE-T, ENF-T, META-Q, XYL-N, MMM-N are stocks to buy or sell.
This has done very well in the last 3 months. Just put out some guidance for next year, which was better than expected. A very high quality diversified industrial company in the US, and is quite global with about 60% of revenues from outside North America. Valuation is relatively expensive, trading above its historical metrics in terms of the PE ratio, so she wouldn't be chasing it.
Despite the fact that we see WTI up to $57 and Brent over $60, the Canadian producers are not reflecting those price levels. In fact, the differential has widened. A lot of Canadian energy producers are down, and she doesn't have a lot of exposure. Feels this one is more highly levered than some of the others. She would rather own a very low-cost producer with a very strong balance sheet.
Doesn't follow this closely. It owns a lot of apartment buildings, particularly in areas like Metropolitan Toronto, where the housing market is relatively tight. Very steady cash flow streams. They get rate increases every year, so it's a relatively defensive type of investment. A good candidate if looking for yield and a defence of cash flow. Dividend yield of 3.5%.
She likes Canadian banks as a group. This one has good exposure in the US. The banks have just finished reporting the 4th quarter and pretty much all came in online. Have all been increasing their dividend in the mid-single digit range, and she expects them to continue. Going forward, this will be a call on both the US and Canadian economies. This is a good environment for the banks.
(A Top Pick Dec 14/16. Up 17%.) She likes the banks as a group. They’ve started to pick up their price/share performance mid year. This has been one of the leaders in the group. Has about a 22% exposure in the US, which she likes. While the valuation is a little elevated versus historical averages, the earnings are coming through and are pretty stable. Their payout ratio is about 46% of earnings, and the targets are 40%-50%. They are going to continue to get that 7%-8% earnings growth.
Has never been an owner of this. The stock had a nice bounce, but she still would not be a buyer. They've sold off some drugs, refinanced and pushed back some of the maturities on their debt, and thinks this is part of the reason why the stock has moved. It needs clarity on where they are going to get their future growth.
Economy. This economic expansion has been slow. We are in the 8th year of a recovery. The US economy bottomed in Q3 of 2009, and the cumulative GDP growth is 19%, whereas the historical average is 26%, so there is still a lot of headway. We are only getting 2.5% GDP growth and in the 8th year of recovery, and when you think of all the accommodation the Fed has put into the system, we are in an environment where we will be lower for longer. Now we are getting other economies, the euro zone, Japan, China and emerging markets kicking in, which is helping the global economy. The Canadian market has really lagged, particularly since the composition of the TSX includes a heavy weighting of energy and mining.