N/A

Gold?Technically, this looks really good. You throw in inflationary pressures with wage inflation, gold sells off a little, but not that much. Thinks it is basing. It has the capacity to surprise to the upside.

COMMENT

They’ve done a really good job to improve themselves. Their debt to cash flow is 2.3% for 2018, which is not bad compared to where they where. The valuation is really improving at 6.9% for 2018 versus 7.1% for its peers. The energy space continues to be very challenged. He only sees 2% production growth. This would not be his favourite name in energy.

TOP PICK

In Q2 they missed, due to an outage at Syncrude. Line 3 is being delayed. What is good is that they got permitting for Line 3 in many other jurisdictions, and thinks it goes in on budget and on time in the 1st half of 2019. Trading at a very compelling valuation, 9% 2018 estimated free cash yield, versus 7.7% for its peers. He models 10% annual dividend growth. Dividend yield of 4.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $62.)

TOP PICK

A play on wealth management and a play on slightly higher rates. Lifecos in Canada are pretty cheap. They are getting smoother performance in Q2, which gives the whole sector higher valuations. This is still one of the cheapest. In Q2 they were up a solid 42%. They are showing better operating consistency. Their Asian business was up 18%. There wealth management inflows where $5.6 billion. He models 8% EPS. Dividend yield of 3.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $28.)

TOP PICK

The time to own Europe is now. It’s a pretty easy trade. This trades at about 14X in the next 12 months, versus the TSX at around 16X and the S&P at around 18X. He likes that this has a strong allocation to the consumer, both discretionary and staples and that it is hedged. Pays a 2% dividend yield. There is no withholding tax, as the ETF holds the shares.

COMMENT

Disappointed with recent results and guided down store openings. There hasn't been many successful IPOs in Canada in the last few years. They didn't have enough visibility in what was coming in the first few quarters to build a strong shareholder base and keep IPO shares price up.

BUY

They have a great balance sheet, with 25% of market cap in cash and their margins continue to increase. He sees some follow on. Their recent management changes will benefit them. They have a pristine balance sheet. There is a lot of upside and the downside is limited.