Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Peter Brieger commented about whether CPG-T, PD-T, POT-T, LUN-T, CCO-T, TECK.B-T, CP-T, PPL-T, TOG-T, SCL-T, V-N, BA-T, T-T, USA-T, CEF.A-T, IPL-T, CFP-T, DIS-N, TLM-T, TOU-T, CNQ-T, CM-T, TD-T, PWF-T, MFC-T, CLS-T, TRP-T, KEY-T, EFN-T are stocks to buy or sell.
Financial Stocks. The ZEB-T rallied about 5-6% past week. Analyst forecasts for next year are the same as where the banks are now. They might revise earnings estimates or the earnings are all built in to the bank stocks. If you are going into banks now, then ZEB-T is the best way to play because of the covered calls. But he sold Canadian banks last week to move into the US. He thinks they are a little stretched here.
Education Segment. Earnings. Large caps are hanging in relative to small caps because if we look at sectors on a share weighted basis, the large caps are generally driving more of the earnings and earnings growth. The R-2000 is flat on the year while the S&P has gone up. Energy and health care have been big movers. Industrials make good sense. IT has had a big boost. Trailing EPS should be $119.52 at end of year. 2015 and 16 will be 11% higher each year. He thinks you should continue to buy the dips.
Markets. Geopolitical situations could go haywire any time now around the world. R-2000 has taken a hit. There are comments about the poor quality of lending in the US. But he doesn’t see anything going very wrong at this point. It is essential that the republicans recapture the house in the US. Then people and companies will start spending. We had a period of tremendous cost cutting in US corporations. If the economic recovery continues you can see some tremendous upside on corporate earnings. There is potentially some tremendous upside. He is finding value here and there. Stock markets are not terribly overly valued.
Markets. Earnings season has been very, very good. Looking at the next couple of years, now analyst’s estimates are pretty optimistic. The trend line in interest rates is still pretty much in place. We are in a liquidity trap were economies are recovering, but it is because interest rates are incredibly low. The markets have responded and that is the more important factor. Equities are the best place to be, driven by earnings. Stocks that are linked to the oil sands are starting to do better. In the short term they should have a slight correction, however.