XSU-T -0.22 SOLQ-T -0.79 SVR-T 0.36 MAL-T 0.28 CHTR-Q 1.95 IDT-N -0.7 FI-N 0.53
Daily Stock Opinions and Ratings

Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Dean Orrico and Henry Groppe commented about whether CET-T, ERF-T, PVE-T, BXE-T, NXY-T, BNP-T, TOG-T, HR.UN-T, HTE.UN-T, HOU-T, OBE-T, TLM-T, TRP-T, NIF.UN-T, NAE-T, ZAR-T, VET-T, CPG-T, COS-T, ECA-T, ARX-T are stocks to buy or sell.

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TOP PICK

Arc Resources Ltd(ARX-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Recently raised $250 million to shore up its balance sheet. Dominant player in the Montney greater Dawson area. Cut distributions a number of times over the last 4 or 5 months. There is probably a good base of distributions.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$16.020

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
TOP PICK

Encana Corp(ECA-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Dominant player in the unconventional gas area. Has a good footprint in the Canadian oil sands. Low steam/oil ratios expected. Relatively low operating costs.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$56.310

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
TOP PICK

Canadian Oil Sands(COS-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Cut distributions recently by about 80% so this should position it very well to take advantage of a doubling of oil prices this year.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$21.010

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
PAST TOP PICK

Crescent Point Energy Corp(CPG-T)

Feb 06, 2009
(A Top Pick Jan 29/08. Up 3.6%.) Dominant player in the light oil Bakken Bock and play in south-east Saskatchewan. Management feels they can maintain distribution at these prices. Active hedgers. Relatively low debt to cash flow.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$23.000

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
PAST TOP PICK

Vermilion Energy Inc(VET-T)

Feb 06, 2009
(A Top Pick Jan 29/08. Down 21.8%.) Very well run. Most of its assets and production are offshore and will come in tax-free. Great core holding in the portfolio. A Buy right now.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$24.800

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
PAST TOP PICK

Zargon Oil & Gas Ltd(ZAR-T)

Feb 06, 2009
(A Top Pick Jan 29/08. Down 12.6%.) Will probably see a relatively stable level of distributions. Assuming there is an improvement in the capital/credit markets; you could see a take-out at a 25%-30% premium.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$15.570

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
COMMENT

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

Feb 06, 2009
CONTANGO: Refers to what is happening to the future strip. Each month in the futures market has its own contract and CONTANGO is when future months have a higher price than nearer months and there are expectations that the longer-term price trend is going to be higher. E.G. when there is a December futures contract price oil at $60, the probability is that prices are going to be higher.
Henry GroppeHenry Groppe
Unknown
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COMMENT

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

Feb 06, 2009
Oil: Oil price collapse was because of Saudis in 2006 and 2007. Believed a forecast there was going to be the largest increase in OPEC production in history, so cut production significantly. No increase or change in consumption so created a shortage and drove prices up in 07. Followed by a cold winter creating higher demand. Chinese went on a buying spree. Saudis increased production in mid-07 that caused a price collapse. Now cut twice as much production as they had before, which should create a shortage later this year. Looking for a doubling in oil prices this year.
Henry GroppeHenry Groppe
Unknown
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COMMENT

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

Feb 06, 2009
Natural Gas: Production has peaked but new technology in the gas shales is creating some surplus. Thinks there will be a gas shortage in 8 to 15 months.
Henry GroppeHenry Groppe
Unknown
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COMMENT

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

Feb 06, 2009
Hubbert Peak Oil Theory: World oil production would be peaking at about this time. He sees nothing to change this view.
Henry GroppeHenry Groppe
Unknown
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HOLD

NAL Energy Corp(NAE-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Mid-tier average quality name. Cut distributions earlier this year. Fairly good shape and provides a pretty good up front yield. Have a very strong partnership with ManuLife (MFC-T) for me king acquisitions. 17% yield.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$7.900

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
COMMENT

Noranda Income Fund(NIF.UN-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Zinc processor. Yield of about 22% and he is currently assessing this.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$4.690

Stock price when the opinion was issued

investment companies funds
COMMENT

TC Energy(TRP-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Historically viewed as a defensive stock. As being a bit more growth oriented recently. Expanding organically through the Keystone Pipeline. May eventually see the McKenzie Valley pipeline being built. Just increased dividends.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
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$33.820

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas pipelines
COMMENT

Talisman Mining Ltd(TLM-T)

Feb 06, 2009
For years it has been a “show me” story. Company continues to be transitioning under new management. Trying to become an unconventional gas play.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Owned
Unlock Rating
$12.810

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
DON'T BUY

Obsidian Energy(OBE-T)

Feb 06, 2009
Think they are going to have headwinds on both short-term and long-term aspects. Recently raised some money but not all that issue has he sold. Very few institutions participated. Struggling to replace production. Distributions are too high.
Dean OrricoDean Orrico
Unknown
Unlock Rating
$13.940

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas

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