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Kim Bolton
President and Portfolio Manager at Black Swan Dexteritas
Member since: Jun '18 · 1452 Opinions
Rating Card
| All | 
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.34 | 212 31.88% | 129 19.40% | 82 12.33% | 120 18.05% | 122 18.35% | ||
| 1 Month | 4.52 | 15 8.11% | 60 32.43% | 50 27.03% | 53 28.65% | 7 3.78% | |
| 6 Months | 4.77 | 59 34.30% | 37 21.51% | 15 8.72% | 29 16.86% | 32 18.60% | |
| 12 Months | 4.71 | 67 44.08% | 18 11.84% | 13 8.55% | 17 11.18% | 37 24.34% | |
| 2 Years | 4.16 | 53 44.17% | 11 9.17% | 2 1.67% | 18 15.00% | 36 30.00% | |
| 5 Years | 3.55 | 18 50.00% | 3 8.33% | 2 5.56% | 3 8.33% | 10 27.78% |
Stock Opinions by Kim Bolton
Looking at a graphic that's constructed like a dartboard, the bullseye is comprised of all the manufacturers. The likes of Japanese automakers such as Toyota and Hyundai, and TSLA is in there. They build and use the automation robotics.
The circle just outside the bullseye contains the hardware companies. All the way from HON to NVDA. It's the hardware that assists and supports the manufacturers in what they put into the robotics and automation. Then the outer circle contains the software guys.
He mentions all this on the back of the TSLA Robotaxi event. It was a historical moment, as it was the first time they had robots. Some were dancing, some serving drinks, others conversing with the audience. First time we've had a venue like that, it's a big deal.
It's early days, but if you listen to the likes of Gartner Research, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of those robotics and automation companies is running about 25% per year. And it will continue that way. You can see it with the manufacturers, such as with all the robots that TSLA and GM use.
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He'd pick 1 or 2 of the manufacturers, 2 out of the hardware players, and 1 or 2 out of the software area. The application of AI is key in this, as it's really accelerating all the automation and robotics. It's a young area, but it's applicable.
Everyone's wondering when they're going to be able to actually monetize the AI side. Well, here it is, this is real.
Software is very widely used in the legal industry. In the last quarter ending June 30, reported loss of $105M. But last year the CEO made $98M, the second-highest-paid CEO in Canada. Stays away because it's not making $$.
(Analysts’ price target is $22.00)Very high debt to equity of around 99%. ROE is -33%. Financial metrics tell him to stand aside.
(Analysts’ price target is $6.25)Bar is set very low on TSLA, should do pretty well. AAPL should also do pretty well because it has some momentum behind it, even though it's behind on the AI side. AMZN is firing on all cylinders. Have to wait until the end of November for NVDA.
The one with uncertainty will be GOOG, because of DOJ litigation as well as competition on Search (especially from the new one, Perplexity). He still really likes it though, because it has so many horses in the race.
Reports tonight. Bar is set very low on TSLA, should do pretty well when it reports next earnings.
AAPL should also do pretty well when it reports, because it has some momentum behind it, even though it's behind on the AI side.
Firing on all cylinders. Will do extremely well, plus will give guidance going into the holiday season. So many horses in the race, big action in robotics. His 12-month price target is $215. Still in his top 5. Can buy here around $186, under $180, and under $170 would be an absolute gift.
The one with uncertainty, because of DOJ litigation as well as competition on Search (especially from the new one, Perplexity). He still really likes it though, because it has so many horses in the race.
Rumours last week that it may be looking to acquire EXPE. Had a good run, within 10% of price target. In the autonomous driving space he gravitates to GOOG, as it has Waymo and a heck of a lot more data.
Surprised when it lowered guidance, order book was way down, and the stock rolled over by 15% just like that. He didn't sell, as it's still a leader in lithography. The memory side of the business is very cyclical, though the AI side was very robust. What he did, though, was get rid of some of his memory chip stocks.
The company also talked about how China has built out facilities for memory chips. So, another supply of memory chips that will influence the cyclicality.
When ASML reported its disappointing memory-chip earnings, he sold this one as a result. This business is so very cyclical; once sold off, takes anywhere from 2-6 quarters to come back.
ASML also talked about how China has built out facilities for memory chips. So, another supply of memory chips that will influence cyclicality in the space.
When ASML reported its disappointing memory-chip earnings, he sold this one as a result. This business is so very cyclical; once sold off, takes anywhere from 2-6 quarters to come back.
ASML also talked about how China has built out facilities for memory chips. So, another supply of memory chips that will influence cyclicality in the space.
Likes it, continues to hold. Within 10% of his 12-month price target of $193.25.
Still loves it. Fourth largest of companies in the cloud. Lots of horses in the race: data centres, hardware, software, partnership with UofT in natural language processing. He has a pretty full position at ~5%, 12-month target of about $193.
Within 10% of price target, and he doesn't take 1/3 off until it's within 5% of target. But he is starting to write some calls to earn some income. This is what he does unless the company's going to be reporting that week.
