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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Kim Bolton

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COMMENT

In August he raised the hedge to 65%, then lowered it in mid-September then raised it late last week due to volatility. His stock portfolios has been stable, skewed to AI data centres. In this space, the big companies have done well, but the medium/small ones have not. So, the market breadth is weak, even within AI infrastructure. Also, taking Meta's Muse for example, AI has been focused less on business and more on the consumer.

DON'T BUY

Down 48% the past year. He owns a small position and won't add to it now. They're in the penalty box. Their CEO sold 10% of his shares startled the market. You have to wait another year for any progress. They have relatively little debt and good cash flow, but they spend a lot in R&D.

DON'T BUY

It's very profitable and has little leverage, but it's working capital ratio indicates tighter short-term liquidity. This is what's holding investors back. You probably need to wait a couple of earnings.

HOLD

The circular financing reminds him of the 2000 Dotcom era, though there are differences. This has been frustrating. AVGO has strong liquidity and profitability, and boasts a 44% return on equity, but there's a lot of leverage. 

BUY
WD vs. Sandisk

Doesn't own WD. It's hard to compare the two. Sandisk has a stronger story and better price action which he much prefers.

DON'T BUY
WD vs. Sandisk

Doesn't own WD. It's hard to compare the two. Sandisk has a stronger story and better price action which he much prefers.

COMMENT
How do you take profits?

He sells in thirds, just like he buys a new position, also in thirds. He sells the first tranche at 4-5% of the price target, another third at target, then evaluate the price target. Now, he holds a full position of TSM. He would not take profits, but short-dated calls on TSM. If it keeps trading up, he can roll the strike price higher. TSM has a near-monopoloy with amazing margins.

DON'T BUY

The stock looks awesome on paper, but the price action is terrible. It hasn't come back though software has. The reason lies in the management's weak execution of strategy. He has been selling puts, though.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It's in a competitive sector, though they did a fantastic job in tech supply chains. If it fell to $160, he'd buy it. Liquidity is high and has a decent 22% return on equity and a low debt-to-equity of 0.11. Problem is the 41x PE.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 08/25, Up 51%)

GE Vernova had taken off last year, so the nuclear energy stocks would be a flavour for the next 12 months. He didn't buy GE, so he bought this. It's performed very well due to strong revenue growth, $3 billion cash and exposed to AI infrastucture. You can buy it here, more at $240, then a final third at $225.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 08/25, Down 70%)

Problem is their fission-energy power plants are not well-known and Oklo is smaller than other energy companies, so it didn't attract the capital. It carries zero debt and strong liquidity, but the negative earnings scared people. He sold this long ago.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 08/25, Up 34%)

He added to it. Super profits, zero debt, high return on equity. People keep buying on dips.

TRADE

Maybe don't take profits, but sell calls like$395 or $400 no longer than 2 weeks. The price target is $390. There's a lot of volatility in this stock.

COMMENT
Rising bond rates and the impact on the hyperscalers

A 25-point hike won't impact the big guys, but it certainly will impact the small/medium ones.

RISKY

He'll probably merge it with Tesla one day. He owns a small position. SpaceX remains a speculation play, but it's a long-term hold.

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