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Kim Bolton
President and Portfolio Manager at Black Swan Dexteritas
Member since: Jun '18 · 1523 Opinions
Rating Card
| All | 
Rating
| 
Big Win
| 
Win
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Neutral
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Loss
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Big Loss
|  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.45 | 228 32.39% | 134 19.03% | 83 11.79% | 131 18.61% | 128 18.18% | ||
| 1 Month | 4.57 | 16 8.25% | 63 32.47% | 51 26.29% | 56 28.87% | 8 4.12% | |
| 6 Months | 4.82 | 61 33.70% | 37 20.44% | 15 8.29% | 35 19.34% | 33 18.23% | |
| 12 Months | 4.79 | 72 44.72% | 19 11.80% | 13 8.07% | 18 11.18% | 39 24.22% | |
| 2 Years | 4.48 | 57 45.24% | 12 9.52% | 2 1.59% | 18 14.29% | 37 29.37% | |
| 5 Years | 3.61 | 22 52.38% | 3 7.14% | 2 4.76% | 4 9.52% | 11 26.19% |
Stock Opinions by Kim Bolton
It's great for the space. Shows you how fast this AI revolution is happening, and how many are participating in it on both hardware and software. Think back to1995-98, when the internet revolution was going on, it took a long time.
The AI revolution is now just over 2 years old, and you can actually see some of the end-users out there on the software side using it. It's impacting their businesses, making things faster and cheaper.
You have to take it with a bit of a grain of salt when it comes out of China, and people are digging into it. It cost $5-6M, but it already had 50k chips from NVDA and the cost of those was $2B. So you have to get the full story.
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He's been very busy buying this week. Took some profits at the end of 2024 and beginning of 2025, so he'd built up some cash.
Imagine 3 rings, set out like a dartboard. For enterprises around the world, the ecosystem protects sensitive information, manages user access, ensures compliance, provides comprehensive data security and governance.
The bullseye in the middle is all about data protection. The second ring is all about identity and access management (IAM), so the right individuals have access to the right data. Outer circle is compliance and data governance, which provides the framework for ethical and lawful data management.
It's a big, big space. May be a little bit boring, but it's so important.
If you own it, hold. But it's dead money right now. AI will absolutely negatively affect its business. It's trying to sell images, while AI lets you get them for free. Merging with Getty; he'd take the cash and reinvest elsewhere.
Both are in his top 5 holdings, so he'd pick both. If he had to choose one, he'd pick GOOG, mainly because it's cheaper. Silicon Valley's known about DeepSeek for a while, and BABA has an even better widget. You're going to see more innovation, especially on the software side.
Both are in his top 5 holdings, so he'd pick both. If he had to choose one, he'd pick GOOG, mainly because it's cheaper. Silicon Valley's known about DeepSeek for a while, and BABA has an even better widget. You're going to see more innovation, especially on the software side.
When it comes to data security, he'd pick Octave, FTNT, and maybe SAP. This is probably an unexpected answer from him, but these names are just a bit cheaper and just as good.
His 12-month price target is $225. Likes it, and has been adding this week. It's like the "Home Hardware" of cybersecurity, covering the whole area, and catering to small- and medium-sized businesses. Wider and deeper total addressable market than other names.
Caters more to larger enterprises. A bit pricey to add right now.
Caters more to larger enterprises. A bit pricey to add right now.
Buy it strategically. A leader in innovative search solutions for enterprises, not consumers. All the hyperscalers have partnered with it, so that's a positive checkmark. 12-month price target of $129, so runway is shorter. Buy in thirds here at $112, $104, and under $100.
His 12-month price target is $138, and today we're at $143. Today's reporting is going to have to be pretty spectacular, or it's going to encourage more selling. Up$7 today. He'd take 1/4 or 1/3 off right now.
His 12-month target is $37, today it's at $27, so still a bit to go. Builds its business around acquisitions, both vertically and horizontally. Not in his fund, but in separately managed accounts. More of a trade than an investment.
His 12-month price target is $78, still some room. As you can see from the volatility, more of a tradable stock. Gets a lot of news, and the news creates the volatility. Trade it on the stock side, not on the options side.
A good idea at the time, when expectations were for the software side of AI to get some traction. Great example of a stock that made so much sense on paper, but management missed the mark. He made a quick exit.
